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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589292586254360576
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Note Added After Posting:
 
I responded to a question about proper index construction here. Would love to have Prof @RBReich thoughts. Maybe even a debate on CPI and measurement?
|quote=
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589287901804007425
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Great question. Inflation is SUPPOSED to be a group valued field. In the case of bilateral trade it’s an element of GL(2,R) although the economists haven’t gotten there yet. But it is mostly not a field on Geography. It’s a field on path, Loop, preference and geographic spaces.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589287901804007425
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Great question. Inflation is SUPPOSED to be a group valued field. In the case of bilateral trade it’s an element of GL(2,R) although the economists haven’t gotten there yet. But it is mostly not a field on Geography. It’s a field on path, Loop, preference and geographic spaces.
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/invisi_college1
|username=invisi_college1
|content=I have heard you say inflation looks more like a heat map, than a single number. Would you say a heat map by both geography and product? Good morning
|timestamp=2:21 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589287905289449473
|name=Eric Weinstein
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Q1: Why is it a field on Preferences?
 
A1: Because a true COLA is not an index on baskets (mechanical index) but on welfare derived from baskets (economic index). BLS misrepresents '''CPI''' being COLA-driven abusing work of Erwin Diewert on Superlative indices. A COLA prices WELFARE.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589287906795229185
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Q2: Why is inflation a field on LOOP spaces of preferences?
 
A2: Tastes are seasonal. In USA “We never spill Egg Nog on our bikinis.” What you both want & price HAS to be made seasonal to avoid the Cycling Problem (Holonomy) in index number thy. So we have LOOPS of tastes/prices.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|name=Eric Weinstein
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|content=A2 Continued: If you don’t make loops of tastes and prices, you will show meaningless regular inflation if prices, quantities and tastes Circle back to their initial Jan 1 values. This confuses economic experts (Like Diewert) when it comes to chain/path indices…which is up next.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|name=Eric Weinstein
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Q3: Why is inflation a field on Path Spaces of Looped Preferences/Prices?
 
A3: Loosely, Index number theory really died w/ work of Ragnar Frisch (rightly) destroying Irving Fischer’s misguided work on axiomatic tests for bilateral (2 period) mechanical index numbers. Here’s why.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=A3 Cont.: As Ken Arrow challenged us “Frisch showed we can’t solve the bilateral index problem because a single agent at multiple points in time is *exactly* dual to multiple agents at a single instant of time. Which is exactly my ‘Impossibility Theorem’ in Social Choice. QED.”
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|name=Eric Weinstein
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=A3 Cont.: Our response: “Ah. That would be true but for 2 differences! First, Indices live in markets with *prices*. Our methods *don’t* live in social choice voting paradigms. Second, agents evolve into their future selves via paths. There’s no ‘morphing path’ in social choice.”
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=A3 Cont.: “This is why index numbers will one day be properly understood as parallel translation in Fiber Bundles wrt Economic Gauge Potentials. But Zoe doesn’t become Cam morphing into Fatima when voting. So parallel transport is unavailable. Even in topological social choice.”
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Q4: Why do you say indexes are Group-Valued? Isn’t inflation just a number?
 
A4: Here goes. In the most famous case you *can* get away with a number. But that 8.9% style CPI nonsense is actually secretly a 1x1 matrix in GL(1,R). And that actually matters! Why? B/c Non-linearity.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=A4 Cont.: Only 1x1 matrices commute. NxN matrices do not! And if A.B isn’t B.A, the system goes non-linear. So if you have 2 countries with 2 currencies, the commutative case doesn’t work at all. You need to use Freeman Dyson’s system of Time Ordered Products to save inflation.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=A4 Cont.: But even in the case of one Currency like the Dollar, economists don’t get the group issue. True COLAs are valued in an *infinite* dimensional non-commutative group called DIFF_0(R^+) equivalent to increasing differentiable functions from 0–>♾ reparameterizing ‘Utils’.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Q5: So let’s see. Inflation is a field like temperature. But a field in a fiber bundle over ♾-dimensional path spaces of loops of preferences/prices valued in non-commuting groups leading to non linearities not addressed by economists? What about actual geography!”
 
A5: Fair. 👍
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=A5 Continued: Prices vary by zip code. So throw in a geographical map as a reward for getting to the end!
 
Just try to understand my bewilderment when @BLS_gov says 7.9% and everyone pretends that they aren’t really raising taxes & slashing social security. You’re being screwed.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589287923987656704
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Your life savings are being stolen through seignorage as you are being taxed into oblivion with your social Security beaten to a pulp. Meanwhile @paulkrugman and Robert Reich are playing with finger paints.
 
If you want help, do let me know. But I can’t watch this massacre again.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589287925577318400
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Either do something to save yourselves or continue to sit & wait to be eaten by the Fed and @BLS_gov’s fakely precise single number '''CPI'''.
 
I’ll debate ANYONE on this high enough up for you. But I can’t watch & I’m done w economist abuse & yelling at clouds.
 
Thanks for asking.🙏
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|timestamp=4:24 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589298124191043584
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@pirate_hodl They have two black boxes. One is called CPI construction. One is called the Fed. The theory is a narrative. The narrative doesn’t match the actions.
|timestamp=4:46 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589783407156137984
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=If I have 1 piece of advice: Vote for whoever in Congress is most likely to hold PUBLIC hearings on
 
COVID Origins</br>
[[Jeffrey Epstein|Epstein Connection to IC]]</br>
UFOs</br>
'''CPI''' as Tax Increase/SS Reduction</br>
[[Labor Shortages|Fake Labor Shortages]]</br>
DHS meddling in Social Media</br>
Etc.
 
I don’t believe the US is still on the ballot.
|timestamp=12:54 AM · Nov 8, 2022
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1591472636454133760
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Other things that made/make me feel dumb:
 
Bernie Madoff’s Returns</br>
COVID origin questions = Racism</br>
Fauci</br>
Hilary’s Inevitability</br>
[[Quantum Gravity]]</br>
[[Jeffrey Epstein|Jeffrey Epstein’s CCY trading Claims]]</br>
'''CPI Construction'''</br>
UFO/UAP</br>
Chinese Graduate Students in STEM</br>
Open Borders</br>
Defund The Police</br>
DEI</br>
NIH
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1591468740767612931
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=I don’t think there is any history of my ever commenting on @SBF_FTX.
 
It is because I never deeply understood what was going on when it was explained to me. I’m not going to lie: I felt dumb.
 
Moral: be very careful celebrating success that you don’t understand for its own sake.
|quote=
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|nameurl=https://x.com/SBF_FTX/status/1591089320290816000
|name=SBF
|usernameurl=https://x.com/SBF_FTX
|username=SBF_FTX
|content=2) I'm really sorry, again, that we ended up here.
 
Hopefully things can find a way to recover.  Hopefully this can bring some amount of transparency, trust, and governance to them.
 
Ultimately hopefully it can be better for customers.
|timestamp=4:31 PM · Nov 12, 2022
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|timestamp=4:31 PM · Nov 12, 2022
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|timestamp=4:46 PM · Nov 12, 2022
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1603869062945067009
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Word to the wise: watch when they figure out the work on '''CPI''' and, most importantly, [[Theory of Geometric Unity|GU]]. “Gonna be lit.”
 
Same story, but on steroids: institutions can’t deny reality at this scale forever. Too many enormous lies to maintain indefinitely . The instit. [[Kayfabe]] collapse is coming.
|thread=
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1603866949129482240
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=So,I was  ̶d̶e̶r̶a̶n̶g̶e̶d̶,̶ ̶d̶e̶l̶u̶d̶e̶d̶,̶ ̶u̶n̶h̶i̶n̶g̶e̶d̶,̶ ̶p̶a̶r̶a̶n̶o̶i̶d̶,̶ ̶s̶t̶u̶p̶i̶d̶,̶ ̶u̶n̶i̶n̶t̶e̶n̶t̶i̶o̶n̶a̶l̶l̶y̶ ̶h̶i̶l̶a̶r̶i̶o̶u̶s̶,̶ ̶c̶r̶i̶n̶g̶e̶,̶ ̶p̶a̶t̶h̶e̶t̶i̶c̶,̶ ̶g̶r̶a̶n̶d̶s̶t̶a̶n̶d̶i̶n̶g̶,̶ ̶a̶ ̶c̶h̶a̶r̶l̶a̶t̶a̶n̶,̶ ̶n̶u̶t̶t̶y̶,̶ right all along?
|quote=
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|nameurl=https://x.com/mtaibbi/status/1603857551287730176
|name=Matt Taibbi
|usernameurl=https://x.com/mtaibbi
|username=mtaibbi
|content=8. Federal intelligence and law enforcement reach into Twitter included the Department of Homeland Security, which partnered with security contractors and think tanks to pressure Twitter to moderate content.
|timestamp=9:00 PM · Dec 16, 2022
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|timestamp=9:37 PM · Dec 16, 2022
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|timestamp=9:45 PM · Dec 16, 2022
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=== 2023 ===
=== 2023 ===


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