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=== 2009 === | |||
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|content=[[Morals|Moral]]: Bad Theory is overblown. Good theory is a remaining threat to orderly science. But if you fear disruption, run the malware. Thx. | |||
|timestamp=7:44 AM · Nov 12, 2009 | |||
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=== 2010 === | |||
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|content=5YO finds 2 distinct groups of order 4!</br> | |||
[[Morals|Moral]]: Inability to put your $%#* pants on leads to Klein 4-group multiplication table. Go failure. | |||
|timestamp=3:20 PM · Aug 27, 2010 | |||
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=== 2017 === | |||
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|content=[[Morals|Moral]]: When a scientist removes talk of softness/ethics from discussion, you can't infer he/she isn't laser focused on grace/ethics/decency. | |||
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|content=Old tweet rerun: Can (arguably) the world's most emotional 8 chord, chord progression really be generated by a cold dispassionate algorithm? https://t.co/P3e7FLKjao | |||
|timestamp=4:53 PM · Sep 26, 2017 | |||
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|timestamp=5:00 PM · Sep 26, 2017 | |||
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=== 2018 === | |||
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|content=Try to imagine being an echidna or platypus and as actual egg laying mammals, not even being able to land the sought-after âEaster Mascotâ account, being edged out by a f@&$ing rabbit. | |||
[[Morals|Moral]]: There are *many* glass ceilings. If youâve hit one, know there are others. | |||
<nowiki>#</nowiki>HappyEaster | |||
|timestamp=7:37 PM · Apr 1, 2018 | |||
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|content=@EstherOfReilly Thatâs whatâs so interesting about such a turning away from Judaism. I donât see any indication that the Jewish concept of an Old Testament G-d would be simply loving, attentive, protective & kind. Itâs the recent softening of Deities that make G-ds seem so uncaring or impotent. | |||
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|content=A century ago, my great-uncle Sasha was killed serving at the very end of WWI. The simple pointless loss of a sibling, kicked my great grandma Mary from Orthodox Judaism into atheism, altering everything in my familyâs arc. | |||
[[Morals|Moral]]: itâs the wise & kind G-ds we make that fail us. | |||
|timestamp=11:31 PM · Nov 11, 2018 | |||
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|content=@EstherOfReilly When we make G-d in manâs image he generally becomes a character who is too simple, caring and comprehensible to survive repeated contact with random events. The G-d concepts that survive best tend to be less comprehensible and more dialectical. | |||
|timestamp=11:47 PM · Nov 11, 2018 | |||
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|content=@JasonVerhoek @Cernovich I don't know why you would say that. I wouldn't. I would say that dying at the very tail end, just before its end felt pointless. | |||
|timestamp=1:04 AM · Nov 12, 2018 | |||
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|timestamp=5:07 PM · Nov 12, 2018 | |||
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=== 2019 === | |||
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|content=Many are asking me for clarification. In Romance languages the âCâ Letter/Sound is associated with âHotâ and the first tweet was located in Italy. But English speakers *reliably* make a leap that âCâ means cold which is *exactly* the reverse. | |||
[[Morals|Moral]]: Nuance can flip *everything*. | |||
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|content=1/ Nuance v Activism on Twitter. | |||
What Nuance-Twitter Says: https://t.co/bL3mPkuDIj | |||
|timestamp=4:54 PM · Jun 11, 2019 | |||
|media1=ERW-X-post-1138489581932646400-D8y6PLAVUAAujx1.jpg | |||
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|timestamp=6:49 PM · Jun 11, 2019 | |||
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=== 2020 === | === 2020 === | ||
Revision as of 19:22, 3 December 2025
On X
2009
Moral: Bad Theory is overblown. Good theory is a remaining threat to orderly science. But if you fear disruption, run the malware. Thx.
2010
5YO finds 2 distinct groups of order 4!
Moral: Inability to put your $%#* pants on leads to Klein 4-group multiplication table. Go failure.
2017
Old tweet rerun: Can (arguably) the world's most emotional 8 chord, chord progression really be generated by a cold dispassionate algorithm? https://t.co/P3e7FLKjao
Moral: When a scientist removes talk of softness/ethics from discussion, you can't infer he/she isn't laser focused on grace/ethics/decency.
2018
Try to imagine being an echidna or platypus and as actual egg laying mammals, not even being able to land the sought-after âEaster Mascotâ account, being edged out by a f@&$ing rabbit.
Moral: There are *many* glass ceilings. If youâve hit one, know there are others. #HappyEaster
A century ago, my great-uncle Sasha was killed serving at the very end of WWI. The simple pointless loss of a sibling, kicked my great grandma Mary from Orthodox Judaism into atheism, altering everything in my familyâs arc.
Moral: itâs the wise & kind G-ds we make that fail us.
@EstherOfReilly When we make G-d in manâs image he generally becomes a character who is too simple, caring and comprehensible to survive repeated contact with random events. The G-d concepts that survive best tend to be less comprehensible and more dialectical.
@JasonVerhoek @Cernovich I don't know why you would say that. I wouldn't. I would say that dying at the very tail end, just before its end felt pointless.
@EstherOfReilly Thatâs whatâs so interesting about such a turning away from Judaism. I donât see any indication that the Jewish concept of an Old Testament G-d would be simply loving, attentive, protective & kind. Itâs the recent softening of Deities that make G-ds seem so uncaring or impotent.
2019
Many are asking me for clarification. In Romance languages the âCâ Letter/Sound is associated with âHotâ and the first tweet was located in Italy. But English speakers *reliably* make a leap that âCâ means cold which is *exactly* the reverse.
Moral: Nuance can flip *everything*.
1/ Nuance v Activism on Twitter.
What Nuance-Twitter Says: https://t.co/bL3mPkuDIj
2020
Iâve spent a lot of time on this. The story here is not Epstein or Maxwell. Itâs the bizarre mission of our US press to misdirect us. The questions were always the same:
Epstein 'madam' Ghislaine Maxwell 'is a foreign spy hiding in Israel' https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7843659/Ghislaine-Maxwell-reportedly-foreign-spy-hiding-Israel.html via @MailOnline
A) Can you the press seek an on-the-record official denial that Epstein was operating/trafficking attached to US and/or foreign intelligence?
B) Can the press tell us where Ghislaineâs passports were last seen at a border?
C) Is Epsteinâs death a âmessage killingâ to us all?
D) Can you the press tell us the whereabouts of the detailed records of Epsteinâs *trading* operation from âVillard Houseâ in Manhattan?
E) If the hedge fund currency trading never took place, was the source of Epsteinâs wealth the missing assets & pensions of Robert Maxwell?
F) Why are *none* of the esteemed members of the commentariat conspicuously calling for a second Church/Pike style investigation of excesses of our intelligence communities? WTF?
G) Many famous members of the press follow this account closely. Do I not exist? You do write to me.
H) Are you thinking, whoever the hell you are, that you can just intimidate us all? I get that you can get to anyone anywhere. Big deal. Can you get to MILLIONS of us anytime anywhere? Do you see this going away? Are we *all* afraid youâll call us âAlex Jonesâ or kill us? Really?
And for those of you who ask why I never mentioned Israel and the Mossad publicly.. Here is your answer: I donât connect the dots for you.
I have been on this early out of a love of the US & Israel. You deserved to know that this is not some plot of CIA, âThe Jewsâ or Mossad.
If this turns out to be in part an evil intelligence operation trafficking minors, it will be the responsibility of some *tiny* number of raging assholes. Maybe Saudi assholes, maybe Jewish villains and maybe evil CIA folks. Who knows. But it wonât be entire peoples at fault.
As an ordinary US Jew who thought he spotted an OBVIOUS Intelligence operation in 2003-4, I wanted to be on the other side of this thing when it blew, so I could support the US and Israeli ICs which need to be strong & secret but non evil. So now Daily Mail has finally reported!
Now go investigate the story! If he wasnât an asset get the official denials. Discuss a redo of Church/Pike. If there is nothing to find, we deserve to know. Is it our damn country or not? Simple question. Is the press there to get the stories or to kill them? Get this over with!
While Loops & Resource Leaks.
These mindless death spirals are found in nature. They have nothing to do with coding computers but are an ever present danger of filling the world with humans robbed of agency and the capacity to dissent from hive logic.
Itâs difficult to explain to practical folks or Market and/or Democracy fundamentalists, that what you build into the rules will not necessarily remotely produce what you thought youâd get. All coders/biologists, unlike politicians/voters, know this:
Neglecting political economy, capture of media/institutions, market failure, inequality, danger of critical theory, structural inequality, gerontocracy, academic freedom, scientific independence, etc as if these are negligible, dooms us to chase each other around an âant millâ.
Moral: We appear to be caught in loops of our own creation. If so, conventional moves will continue to produce this cycling around the drain. It is time to consider more exotic moves to pull ourselves out.
We can no longer afford to fill the world w/ sheep, NPCs & followers. đ
2021
One of the things my trolls like to point to is outrageous claims.
One of my most *outrageous* is that my joint work on a 2nd Marginal Revolution for economics was scuttled by the Harvard Department of Economics Boskin Commissioners.
Yet itâs admitted:
https://ritholtz.com/2010/01/why-michael-boskin-deserves-our-contempt/
Itâs kind of an interesting puzzle. Why is it that a Harvard Professor (Mankiw) can say the truth which is that this was a conspiracy to cut entitlements. But the only two people who can CALCULATE a COLA for changing tastes are crazy for saying their work was deliberately buried?
In any event, I stand by my claim. The Boskin Commission was organized by Moynihan and Packwood to deliberately break the CPI in a precise amount to avoid the US paying 1 trillion dollars over 10 years.
And I promise you no leading economist will call bullshit to debate this.
On of the reasons is that one of the commissioners bragged about this being the motivation behind the scenes.
Okay. So why canât we have gauge theoretic economics reevaluated? Everyone admits this is what happened. Why continue to bury the advance?
I dunno. But itâs amazing!
The moral of the story to me is this:
We canât have outside folks calculating and theorizing while the inside economists are fudging and cooking the books.
And calling me crazy wonât change a thing when this is finally understood. Itâs simply institutional academic malpractice.
At this point, the story I am tracking isnât âLittle Green Menâ. It is âOfficials inexplicably change course on UFO narrativeâ.
Also, the story about âTechnology never before seen.â Would make more sense with âTechnologyâ replaced by âPhysicsâ.
High level government officials have given UAPs credibility, but it's still pretty hard for an outsider to analyze the evidence objectively. It's all video footage and testimony. We need much stronger evidence to form any real opinion on UFOs being extraterrestrial or not.
The US/Europe seriously diverted attention from doing real theoretical physics almost 40 years ago in 1984 to explore physics inspired mathematics. Did China/Iran/Russia/Israel? I donât know.
But I can tell you this: no one in government is appropriately focused on new physics.
Imagine in 1900 some âcrankâ told you about thermonuclear weapons. Would you listen or laugh? Well, theyâd be only 5 decades away with no aliens necessary. And powered flight hadnât happened yet!
Thatâs how powerful a ânew physicsâ advantage is. Weâre behaving like lunatics.
Any time ANYONE at least 1/2-way viable says something weird or kooky or interesting (Wolfram, Lisi, etc.) the cost of a Department of Energy 1hr phone call is negligible. Almost no one with that background says anything like this. Maybe less than 1 such PhD âlunaticâ per year.
Do I think Wolfram, Lisi, Kaku, Smolin, Klee Irwin, Sarfatti, Woit/Penrose etc are right or on the doorstep of new physics? No! But Itâs also totally irrelevant to the security risk.
It wouldnât matter to me at all. I would check in with all of them: the cost is zero. The risk?
The thing I like least about Geometric Unity is not being able to know what it would unlock if true, any more than Einstein and Bohr understood Lise Meitner, Stan Ulam & Edward Tellerâs weaponization of New Physics.
We are talking about UFOs while not worrying about New Physics.
Think about the g-2 muon anomaly. Have you heard as much about that suggesting the possibility of New Physics from high precision (rather than high energy) as you have about the TicTac UAP?
Similarly, how often do you hear about UAP technology rather than physics issues. Right??
I have no idea what to make of the change in the UAP narrative. What I can tell you with certainty is that for such an ENORMOUS change in the narrative there is no sane explanation for the DOE not to be talking new physics risks and taking every one of the few claims seriously.
As we saw over & over in the 20th century, any small change in physics can change everything almost overnight. From A-Bombs to Semiconductors.
The handful of PhD level claims are of negligible cost to investigate & dismiss compared to a single fighter jet.
DOE lost the plot.
Enough! Letâs get back to UFOs and space opera so we donât have to worry about China & Iran making a breakthrough on a white board in some lab we canât see.
Moral: if you take UFOs seriously but not the risk of new physics, you arenât thinking clearly.
Just think about it. đ
Claim: when it comes to inflation and growth, Economists donât even understand the theory of their *own* price and quantity indices mathematically:
WILD IDEA: Maybe the economists don't actually understand what is going on right now? https://x.com/disclosetv/sta/disclosetv/status/1392488787838742536
The problem of inflation index calculation has not been adequately updated since Ragnar Frisch destroyed Irving Fisherâs attempt to axiomatize economic indices following the last great advances of F. Divisia and A. KonĂŒs on continuous and welfare indices respectively.
Economists are holding their own field back by retaining their freedom to just cook up any revised index they want.
Itâs as if physicists retained the right to define temperature differently every year based on a closed door meeting and manufactured new thermometers thereafter.
If youâre going to push us all to move to âtrueâ âeconomicâ indices & chain them to reflect dynamic actors (or to disguise true inflation!), you would end up chaining ordinal preferences. And you canât do that without gauge theory because it is a problem in parallel transport.
Watch the US CPI revisions and methodology going forward. People who like to print money tend to want to change their definition of inflation and therefore donât like anyone taking away freedom to make up methodologies to suit their political objectives involving wealth transfer.
CPI is broken. Why?
Think of CPI as a gauge like a thermometer. You canât have politically motivated folks making your thermometers or they can change the design to cover up climate change. Likewise you canât have economists changing the gauge to disguise the effect of printing.
A crypto native CPI governed on the blockchain to create a decentralized stablecoin people can rely on to keep their standard of living the same across time. A true alternative to fiat rather than a speculative investment asset like most other coins.
The economists canât yet compute a dynamic Cost-Of-Living-Adjustment or COLA or âChained Changing Preference Ordinal Welfare Konus Indexâ to be perfectly pedantic. Not because it doesnât exist. But because they donât have the math and donât want to lose their finger on the scale.
But more importantly, we have a culture that economics literally trumpets (and I swear I am not making this up) âEconomic Imperialismâ. It is âwe know math and you donâtâ-culture.
No. They donât know their own math. I will debate any high ranking economist on this point.
Itâs time to reveal that economics, far from embracing math or having physics envy, is deliberately avoiding solutions to old problems so that it can make up new gauges for CPI/GDP at will while telling the rest of the soft sciences âWe know your field better because we do math.â
No. Economics is an avoiding gauge theory, connections, Lie Groups, etc so it can retain its political relevance as an expert consultancy. Iâm with the crypto folks on this. Our economy must be protected from Seigniorage (printing money) and CPI tampering (e.g. Boskin Commission).
CPI should notâŠMUST NOTâŠbe adjustable to disguise inflation. It needs to be protected from the FED diluting the power of money and the BLS being free to disguise the effects by changing the method of construction.
End the forced wealth transfers of central bankers covering up their own failures with âReliefâ, âEasingâ, âStimulousâ, âRescuesâ, âToxic Asset Purchasesâ, and other bailouts of our incompetent financial overlords.
We must protect CPI from economists disguising wealth dilution.
P.S. before you remind me how arrogant this sounds, keep in mind, that I am willing to debate this publicly with any leading economist eager to defend the central bankers and triumphalist theorists openly bragging about their math. Read this, and be sick:
https://nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w7300/w7300.pdf
Moral: Gauge Theory fixes this intellectual corruption problem of economic imperialism, and #btc, blockchains and Crytpo can help.
Then listen closely.
A) You stop giving CEOâs an ear when they whine about labor shortages. Cut off the visas.
B) You *spend* on STEM R&D. Sky-High Compensation w High Standards.
C) You purge *everything* that says âDiversity, Equity & Inclusionâ anywhere close to a STEM kid.
D) Kick the CCP out of US labs. Make them do their own scientific research, as to do it well requires freedom. Force CCP towards freedom through science & STEM rather than letting them pick the fruits of our freedom to challenge and question orthodoxy.
E) Hire our own heterodox.
F) Incentivize the leadership of our most critical institutions to promote people who wonât play well with others who are captured by groupthink. Earmark money to promote those who wonât easily get along with co-workers when their co-workers are standing in the way of progress.
More or less we have to kickstart the American dream. And to do that requires a public spirited elite.
We need to purge ourselves of our fake elite. We are coming to hate fake experts.
We need real ones who are well paid. By us. Not by some revolving door baksheesh arrangement.
But I was cheering when Blake said one income. Because raising kids is about the most important job in the world. And if we are going to get rich enough to do it we need innovators worried about their next family vacation, not how to find two adjunct positions in adjacent states.
Moral: take care of the innovators you task to make you wealthy & secure. Particularly the heterodox leaders that wonât always get along with others. Then get out of the way w the social engineering. Share the STEM benefits with your NATO allies before giving them to your rivals.
Burn it all the F down. All tax is theft. Exit > Voice. Just put it on a blockchain bro. No Justice, No Peace. No Big Deal: Itâs Chinaâs turn. But those mean tweets. Forth turning ma dude. âOrange man Badâ right? But Jan 6th!
Simplified Twitter solutions to it all, as a graphic:
Fantasize all you want, but when you are done, you will still have to save or found institutions that are not this extractive, dishonest, sociopathic, and incompetent.
Donât believe it? Spend a month without using any institutions.
Moral: Stop looking for no-brainer summations.
Things I don't believe we can't conclusively resolve:
A) COVID's origin.
B) The Jeffrey Epstein story.
C) UAP.
D) JFK assassination.
E) Vegas Shooting.
F) Extent of 'Democracy Fortifying' in 2020.
G) Efficacy of Non-Vaccines.
H) Mysterious WEF 'Build Back Better' mantra.
I) Negative impacts of Trade known to have been suppressed.
J) Adulteration of BLS CPI measure of inflation.
K) Negative economic impacts of Immigration.
L) Sudden spike in fake 'Objective Third Party Fact Checking'.
M) Sudden "Diversity Equity Inclusion" explosion.
Q) Joe Biden's state of cognitive decline.
R) Nature of MSNBC campagin against Andrew Yang.
S) Nature of Dean Scream, Anti-Ron Paul and other interference in democracy by Mainstream media News.
T) Impact of loss of mandatory retirement on young people seeking work.
U) Rex84.
V) Collusion between National Academy and National Science foundation division of Policy Research and Analysis to fake demographic crisis in mid 1980s.
W) Lack on anyone building the significant & desperately needed new non-profit institutions despite skyhigh wealth inequality.
X) Loss of Academic Freedom across the board in Academe.
Y) Loss of the Lancet and other publications as trusted non-political sources of fact.
Z) The true nature of @EcoHealthNYC w its relationship to @doddtra & Dr A. Fauci.
Moral: much of this 'ambiguity' is serving the few.
A last point: I don't know what happened in most all of these (the NSF & BLS stories being exceptions). I really don't. The quality of my guesses is not particularly high. The quality of my suspicions as to what IS resolvable has been *considerably* higher, at least historically.
St Helena. Still Covid free.
Moral: thereâs (almost) no diversity on Earth. We are all in one giant experiment now with shared fate. Whatever happens in Vegas (or Wuhan or ChernobylâŠ) wonât stay there anymore.
It is past time to diversify off this sphere before itâs too late.
And for those new to this issue I donât mean Mars. And I donât mean letâs stop caring about earth.
If we donât solve post-Einstein physics we arenât likely going anywhere good. And even if we do, thereâs no guarantee it helps.
Take care of earth, but look for the exit. Now.
The research university system would start to collapse. And we would at last be forced to conclude that using PRC labor to try to intimidate Americaâs STEW force into accepting *scraps* to enrich everyone else is probably about the dumbest thing we do as a nation.
Close to it.
American universities and research institutes say the U.S.âs dominance in science and technology could be undermined by toughened U.S. visa requirements that are squeezing the flow of talent from China. https://www.wsj.com/world/china/visa-restrictions-on-chinese-students-endanger-u-s-innovation-edge-universities-say-11635856001
This is a market. Letâs get this much needed pain to our universities/STEM employers. Thatâs how this works. Our STEM employers need pain to stop lying & to stop helping our strategic rivals play us like a fiddle. How do we get them as much pain as we can, as quickly as possible?
Moral: Scientists are central to a modern nation on every level. Only a 3rd rate kleptocracy chisels on compensation and insulation of STEM professionals. The deliberate use by NSF of PRC labor (student and otherwise) to hold down US wages is an advanced form of academic madness.
*STEM
@clairlemon @babydontshirtme @BretWeinstein When good people fall into these battles I am always inclined to remember the moral i got from Othello:
Look for Iago.
Surprise.
[Word to the wise: watch very very carefully how your CPI is constructed. You have the right to know EXACTLY how it is constructed.]
NEW: Powell says it's time to retire the word "transitory" regarding inflation https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2021-11-29/powell-and-yellen-in-the-senate-kwkw102n
Itâs hard to imagine how confused Economics is. Imagine you work for the @BLS_gov and you have to admit that your agency claims to compute our Inflation within a Cost-Of-Living framework, but doesnât maintain the central ingredient needed to compute or even impute Cost-Of-Living.
There are no preference maps, chained CPI employs a superlative Tornqvist formula to account for substitution. The documents introducing the chained CPI do a better job outlining the methodological and theoretical structures than I could.(https://bls.gov/cpi/additional-resources/chained-cpi-introduction.pdf)
Follow the thread back from here. This is where the conversation ends. #EconTwitter may tell you terrible things about me.
Maybe. Or maybe they donât have a theory that works and they refuse to admit it while transferring billions through CPI releases.
Wait. Slow down.
Did you just say that BLS is claiming to work within a Cost of Living framework which *requires* preference maps *definitionally*, butâŠwords fail meâŠhas no preference maps? At all??
I must not be understanding. Chaining Tornqvist indexes isnât an answer here.
You cannot keep mumbling Economic word salad forever âModified LaspeyresâŠcore inflationâŠLowe generalization of the LaspeyresâŠChained Tornqvist with revisionsâŠchain driftâŠsuperlative index approximates flexible functional formâŠâ
Tastes change. Cost-Of-Living inflation is about tastes. If tastes evolve in time, the economistsâ COL framework disintegrates. That is: there is NO theory. #EconTwitter can tell you I donât get it.
It is THEY who donât get it. They canât escape it. Itâs in their own literature.
What you are seeing reported as Inflation is not coming from a well grounded theory. It is coming from human beings making policy level judgements as if they were merely making technical adjustments to a technical time series devoid of values about who should benefit or suffer.
Moral: you have a right to know whatâs in your food and how your pharmaceuticals were tested. You have a right to ask your surgeon what she plans to do during an operation.
You have a right to demand what economists are actually measuring as Cost-Of-Living W/O abuse for asking.
And, no, the answers to these questions are NOT in the BLS handbook on CPI methodology. Iâve looked.
So this just appears now!?! And what do we learn? That if "Sources and Methods" of the Intelligence Community might be compromised, prosecutors regularly decline to push for full prosecution EVEN IN THE CASE OF SEXUAL ABUSE of minors and INFANTS.
Bingo: Follow the Silence.
I have spent a decade, literally, collecting hundreds of IG reports from the CIA via #FOIA. I've filed 13 requests and sued the agency 3 times since 2012. When @a_cormier_ & I started to review these docs earlier this year we spotted a disturbing pattern
We have an undisclosed program; there's some kind of 'understanding' that we don't understand. I very well understand why we don't casually compromise "Sources & Methods". But trafficking kids is NOT casual business. Nor is USING them as part of 'Sources & Methods' for kompromat.
One question now creates 2 teams:
Team A) 'Sources & Methods' are above child trafficking in importance.
Team B) Child Trafficking is above any exemption for our 'Sources & Methods'.
I believe that if Epstein needed to use kids for S&M as Kompromat, we lost our plot entirely.
Seriously, I am not being naive here. If we have to abuse children to gain security for the country, maybe we don't have the right to a nation? If our intelligence community is so pathetic...look you get the idea. If the US isn't protecting kids from our own IC, we aren't the US.
I understand we may occassionally have to fell a monster overseas. I understand that sometimes there's a ticking time bomb and 'extraordinary methods' are needed. I understand that we must surveil people or engage in illegal acts while undercover.
But you-can't-use-kids. Period.
Is there some GIANT understanding involving our journalists & news desks that when the IC says 'Sources & Methods' we all just say 'Ok. Anything you say boys.' Like, for example with @arobach being shut down on Epstein:
Abuse of Kids > Sources & Methods
Notice how everything adds up if there's a giant understanding that Sources & Methods trump everything protecting innocent children? You just say 'Sources & Methods are at risk'. Explains Acosta, Robach, Veritas, etc. Boom: No more Epstein mysteries. It's all 'Sources & Methods'.
Q: Why no discussion of Villard House records?
A: Sources & Methods.
Q: Why no investigation of Epstein's Hedge Fund's trading partners & brokerage?
A: Sources & Methods.
Q: Why do editors claim no one cares about Epstein?
A: Sources & Methods.
Q: Project Veritas?
A: S&M.
Q: Why report Epstein was a disgraced Financier when no one seems to have traded with him?
A: Sources & Methods.
Q: Why so little interest in covering Ghislaine relative to Kyle Rittenhouse?
A: Sources & Methods.
Q: Why did no one ask where GM last crossed a border?
A: S & M.
Moral: Our kids cant vote. We bring them into the world totally dependent on us. If we have a country that deserves an Intelligence Service, we have a right to know that kids are 100% OFF LIMITS as regards 'Sources & Methods' by the IC of us or our allies. Period. Kids >>> S & M.
P.S. And...I appear to be back to being throttled more agressively after several threads were throttled less agressively or not at all by twitter.
At least at first on this thread. We will see whether that continues. CC'ing @lexfridman @benshapiro @jordanbpeterson @SamHarrisOrg
A different wrong idea the Internet loves: âTrue scientists are humbleâ.
Typically Newtonâs quote to Hooke is invoked âIf I have seen further it is by standing on the shoulders of Giants.â
Ahem. Great scientists are all over the map on this. Nowhere close to always humble.
Great minds have made fun of this through the years.
There is an old story that the great Sidney Coleman once walked into the Harvard Physics department office and said âIf I have seen farther than other men, it is because I am surrounded by midgets.â
Scientists arenât simple.
Most successful scientists are combinations of arrogant ambitious people, together with humble self-critical people.
But the Internet canât be bothered with that complexity. So it traffics in a crazy idea: if you arenât always humble you arenât a scientist.
Which is bananasâŠ
Feynman wasnât simply an arrogant prick. He was âSchodingerâs Prickâ if you will. Sometimes an insufferable bully. Sometimes a humble teacher. Generally a show-off. Sometimes a supporter of others. At times a saboteur.
Moral: simple statements about science are generally false.
But most *simple* humility in science is false humility. That said, we are all humbled by nature, and sometimes by our peers. But most have to be at least a bit arrogant to survive abusive colleagues. So it is uncommon to find someone who is always humble. And yet, they do exist.
2022
I know of no well resourced individual interested in leading an attempt to save our institutions from current leadership. No one I know is studying why seemingly disjoint institutions (e.g. @splcenter, @ACLU, @nytimes, @UCBerkeley, @MSNBC, @NIH, @sciam, etc.) would act as one.
In short, anyone who could credibly even attempt to save these structures (or even allow us to understand their rapid collective demise by studying the slide without needing to seek funding or approval) is acting as if this isn't interesting or a priority...or they approve of it.
I don't know how to interpret this, but there are a very large number of folks without those levels of resources who have tried and paid dearly. Yet, I am aware of no mega check that has ever been written to allow them to know the freedom of dissent enjoyed by the ultrawealthy.
The entire idea of academic freedom was to free one class of people from "Sinclair's Prison". How do you make a scientist or an academician immunized from having her or his paycheck depend on whether she/he evidences understanding of an inconvenient truth power wants buried?
We don't have such people anymore. We need to get rid of modern "accountability" and all those other words that give people a gooey feeling they are doing the right thing. We need our truth apparatus immunized from the market as we had it before. Yet no one works on this issue.
Moral: markets may still be functioning, but wealth is not. The world of folks having their reputations systematically destroyed by trying to opennly call for defense of our institutions and their values against our current suicidal leadership & the on-line hordes is unsupported.
I'm not calling for support here. I am pointing out something much more interesting. No one wealthy...as in no one who owns a large private jet and above...finds this something worth doing. *ALL* of our wealthy have given up on our shared institutions. And I found that striking.
Maybe the wealthy are just super smart & have an escape plan. If so, I haven't heard it. Call it a hunch, but watching the collapse in institutional trust, I don't think this is going to end well for anyone, including the ultra wealthy. It's one planet connected by an atmosphere.
My my. What a âquick and devastating published takedown.â Well done @npr. Good dog. Good boy.
Moral: Never sell your soul for a tote-bag and Carl Kasellâs voice on your home answering machine message.
I understand that CPI is 7.5%.
Different question. Look at the spread.
Tell me how we got 7.5%? Do you have any idea what 7.5% means?
Now listen to who repeats this number.
If they said 7.57348977% ± 0.0000003% you would be laughing.
We should be laughing, not nodding.
Price increases over last year (CPI report)
Used Cars: +40.5%
Gasoline: +40.0%
Gas Utilities: +23.9%
Meats/Fish/Eggs: +12.2%
New Cars: +12.2%
Electricity: +10.7%
Overall CPI: +7.5%
Food at home: +7.4%
Food away from home: +6.4%
Transportation: +5.6%
Apparel: +5.3%
Shelter: +4.4%
Monthly Reminder Moral: itâs really really really hard to fake a field. Economic Index Numbers like CPI are not real numbers. They are naturally group-valued *FIELDS* that would be nearly impossible to fake and manipulate.
The *entire* subject is off. Peer review wonât help. đ
I think this isnât right.
We have a world where institutions BLATANTLY lie in the vague direction of the truth to make the truthâŠuhâŠpunchier. More viral.
Some people, upon detecting the lies (e.g. âClimate modeling is settled scienceâ), decide thereâs no truth in it *at all*.
đŽOn the Republican Party: âBecause of Trumpâs fanaticism, the worshipful base of the Republican Party barely regards climate change as a serious problem. Thatâs a death warrant to the species.â
Many believe there is no chance COVID was Zoonotic because we are lying about the lab by saying it has to be Zoonotic. But we donât know.
Many people are convinced Ivermectin is a total COVID solution since weâre obviously lying about human medicine as Horse Dewormer. It isnât.
No one knows if Epstein killed himself. We just know our papers arenât aggressively reporting that story. So many assume Epsteinâs death is fake or an obvious hit. Because it could be either, but our lame institutions donât dare ask even the easy questions. So we lurch to oppose.
Many people donât believe that Russia/Ukraine is a threat or even real because they can see the obvious daily spin. But it is a huge threat and an atrocity. Weâre just lying and spinning parts of it.
They donât believe the Fed has ANY function because it does do some bad stuff.
Moral: if you want a better model of Trump Supporters try this one: they prefer idiosyncratic lying/spin/distortion by a gadfly as an antidote to coordinated credentialed institutional polished lying with amazing production values. Further, they donât think *anyone* offers truth.
But they will react to spin and hype as if there is ZERO substance behind it if that spin and hype are coordinated across multiple venues, institutions & talking heads.
They arenât principally embracing Trump or idiocy. They are rejecting obvious coordination of hype.
That.đ
One example, offered freely and without my asking:
That would be me. A lifetime studying science but have never spent one second looking into climate change. Too many experiences with the left's consensus herd. Don't care about Ukraine, either. Anything they're all in on I ignore.
âŠbut then in Aix, once you see one AIX or X reference, you start seeing things everywhere that may or not be real.
This is a simple model of what goes wrong in most models of âconspiracy theorizingâ. I donât know how to say that the building pictured is almost certainly an âarchitectural conspiracyâ to spell AIX while the gate is not. I have no idea about the crossed metal beams.
Moral: some people seem to see meaning & pattern everywhere. Others seem to demand proof because they believe that itâs all likely our imaginations. Donât be like those groups of people.
Take on the true burden of trying to sort out what is real but hidden vs what is imagined.đ
I donât think there is any history of my ever commenting on @SBF_FTX.
It is because I never deeply understood what was going on when it was explained to me. Iâm not going to lie: I felt dumb.
Moral: be very careful celebrating success that you donât understand for its own sake.
Other things that made/make me feel dumb:
Bernie Madoffâs Returns
COVID origin questions = Racism
Fauci
Hilaryâs Inevitability
Quantum Gravity
Jeffrey Epsteinâs CCY trading Claims
CPI Construction
UFO/UAP
Chinese Graduate Students in STEM
Open Borders
Defund The Police
DEI
NIH
This is a bigger conversation. There is a lot of behavior on Twitter that is intended to intimidate people that hides behind pro-social rationalizations.
Tell me if youâve heard the following excuses for *truly* antisocial posting:
A) Itâs perfectly legal.
B) Itâs just a joke!
C) The public has a right to know!
D) The person targeted is successful so itâs not a problem.
E) The data is publicly available.
F) Iâm just shitposting.
G) Oh, heâs an edge-lord.
H) She had it coming.
I) We give our targets a chance to respond.
J) He brought the issue up first.
K) She just has such a punchable face.
L) I donât view commies as people.
M) I donât view the AltRight as human.
N) First day on the internet?
O) No justice, no peace.
P) Gotta break a few eggs to make an omelette.
Q) Anyone who posts under their real name deserves whatâs coming.
R) Libtards are such whining crybabies.
S) Iâm a critic!
T) Iâm saving the public from charlatans.
U) Well, my audience liked it.
V) Famous people are asking for it.
W) Iâm a journalist.
X) Chapelle is way worse than I am.
Y) Iâm just a small account.
Z) Itâs fun.
Ok. Now what?
The 1st thing to say is that a lot of those excuses are being used to cover up intentionally interpersonally destructive behavior. That is, folks who WANT to hurt others are generally on the look out for how they can hurt people and NOT pay the social price of being a psychopath.
MORAL I: If you enjoy the pain from hurting other named people, you are generally going to find a way to explain that what you are doing is for the good of the world. That is, *every* sadist can find an excuse between âThis is normal.â and âI do it for society. Thank me later.â
How can you tell the difference between a psychopath and say a true comedian, journalist, etc? Psychopaths do not attempt to minimize damage to families. Regular folks try to target institutions before named individuals. They regularly attempt to give others generosity of spirit.
MORAL II: Excuses work because they muddy the water of abuse. The above excuses are appropriated from contexts where they make sense. But most internet critics are nothing of the kind. A criticism helps us course-correct. A stalker doesnât want you to improve. They want anguish.
MORAL III: A lot of what is visible on Twitter hides behavior offsite, and even offline. An apparent Twitter critic may be real-life stalker/sadist. Thereâs no way to understand what is happening to public figures like @elonmusk by just looking at Twitter. This is just surface.
MORAL IV: Many people on Twitter feel that the very rich on the site have so much money that they never need to worry about anything. This is close to being the dumbest idea ever.
Remember: Any billionaire with a child they love is vulnerable to any psycho with an opportunity.
MORAL V: Free speech is about restraining ourselves w/ culture so that we donât need rules to tell us what we can say. Itâs NOT a free-for-all for sadists. Free speech would NEVER develop in a culture in which Mores were not strong, shared and effective in prohibiting sociopathy.
FINAL MORAL: If you want to be a critic, a journalist, a comedian, or even a troll, develop a code of ethics. Donât hybridize w/ abuse Check in w/ yourself as to whether youâre really working out abuse, rage, envy or status issues. Try to minimize unnecessary damage to others.
My thoughts anyway. Eager to hear yours. đ
Shabbat Shalom to one and all.
2023
âGraduate Students in STEMâ is mostly a euphemism for Americaâs dirt cheap scientific workforce. Everyone in Science knows this by the way & admits it behind closed doors. Everyone.
[We lie in public just to save millions FYI.]
Now letâs talk about that overflight by a balloon.
Moral: China already knows what we are doing by and large. American science is built on a model: they supply highly reliable workers, we supply our asymmetric scientific advantages born of our freedom. Donât hate the PRC and their students. The US is always giving away the store.
Imagine if it were leaked that COVID came from an NIH grant: âThis-has-no-business-being-in-the-public-domain.â
Or if Epstein were foreign intelligence operating with tacit approval of the US IC: âThis-is-not-intended-for-public-consumption.â
Capisce?
My point: you public servants have protected AND failed too much. You smear *every* one of us who merely trips over your mile-wide trail of incompetent statecraft from Bagram to Wuhan that passes through 71st St Manhattan & east of Dayton.
MORAL: Protect less or succeed more. đ
2025
I think many of you made a huge mistake about the âClient Listâ. About âLolita Expressâ. About âPedophile Island.â That is, if the goal was to use Epstein to get justice, and put an end to this abuse of children and civilians by the sickest members of the worldâs ICs.
You had fun with memes. And you let an IC sponsored pedophile get away. We were supposed to be pushing the press:
âWhy donât you ask **any** truly detailed questions about a supposed multi billion dollar FX hedge fund that may not have existed at all?â That wasâŠand isâŠthe first order of business.
We canât know exactly what he did, where and when.
But there is no way to fake this hedge fund. Either he had an enormous fund or he didnât. We can get all the details if he did. Or push as to why they donât exist.
I donât know if he killed himself. I donât even know if he is dead. I donât know if there is âthe Epstein client listâ.
The thing we know best is that he claimed to manage a multibillion dollar fund that ***cannot*** be hidden. Where are its records and employees?????????â Why does the press avoid reporting on this fund like the plague???? It was headquartered at Villard House for Christ sake. Madison Avenue. Who liquidated it? Who worked there? wtf?
This manager to this mystery fund is like a captain who supposedly has one of the worldâs largest mega yachtsâŠthat somehow isnât registered or flagged. It leaves no wake. No shipyard built it or serviced it. It has no crew. No harbor master has ever seen it.
âItâs so quiet that Lockheed asked to study it. Itâs said to be made of optically neural superconducting ice crystals that form only from the tears of virgin sea lions cooled to absolute zero so it canât be seen. He brilliantly purchased a Bugis Prahu Charter that was grandfathered in before the 1609 Mare Liberum was in force so that he alone may sail the seas without ever communicating with other vessels or harbors. It is said that his carbon fiber anchor and chain stretched to the bottom of the Challenger Deep so that he didnât need to approach the shore for years on end.â
Câmon.
The key was that he wasnât a âdisgraced financierâ. He was a construct fitted with a mysterious poorly drawn backstory. And that construct probably belonged to several Allied nation states:
âHeâs so brilliant that he only accepts people who surrender total control of their wealth under power of attorney. He is closed to anyone who doesnât have 1 Billion dollars minimum. In fact: his investor list is so discreet, and is said to be so secretive and closely guarded that he has only one known client.â
Did you not realize that outside investors are a liability to a cover story or front? Beware any super secretive fund that has a story why they dont want family office or institutional money. This is not the only one btw.
HenceâŠthe exclusivity.
Why was he obsessed by Gravity? He was almost certainly a front used for funding edgy science, information gathering, control, etc away from normal channels.
It wasnât one thing. He wasnât a creepy front companyâŠhe was a mall filled with different business providing different goods and services. It wasnât all about raping kids. Some collection of people invested something like 9 figures in creating a weird 11-12 figure fairy tale via leverage. And it was used for a lot of things. It was called Jeffrey Epstein.
Moral: focus on the cover story. Not the memes. Go after the press first. Figure out exactly who is stopping the fund from being dissected. Focus on the non reporting.
This is what Anti-Interesting is all about. Use it.
One manâs opinion. đ
Fascinating exchange gentlemenâŠso odd.
Why donât you also bring up the metaplectic correction and point out that I donât mention that?
Or ordering considerations of classical operators?
That would allow you both to cast even more (unsupported) aspersions.
In truth you are not making a deep point. You are making the quantum supremacy point that we should take classical limits of quantum systems. Not naively quantize classical theoriesâŠlike we used to do when we were succeeding.
Yet the Standard Model stubbornly remains a classical field theory that got quantized. Mysteriously dodging near certain death on all sides. What are the odds!!
Well, there might be deep classical reasons for that improbable outcome that escape the quantum supremacists. I meanâŠitâs just possible.
MORAL: Not everyone is an ignorant idiot just because they think your community is 40+ years stalled groupthinking this exact way. I donât think you are ignorant or stupid. I donât think you are pseudoscientists. Or grifters. Or any of that. I just think you are wrong in your total approach. Thatâs just science. The quantum gravity crowd has demanded a victory parade for 40+ years over all other approaches while it fails to launch year after year after year. That is not science. Iâm sorry. I donât make that rule.
MORAL II: You might want to bring up polarization independence and the difficulty of proving (projective) flatness in the polarization discussion, if you want to be even more condescending. You might also laugh to yourselves that the classical hadron and lepton sectors donât even separately quantize! I donât know why this doesnât occur to you. And finally, you might want to assert that I am ignorant of Groenewoldâvan Hove and have a chuckle about that too. Just a suggestion.
Have fun. And good day, gentlemen. Keep up the high standards and good work.
Buddy, we're not doing "quantum supremacy". But if you wanna quantise a classical theory you must work for it. You don't get to yell "self-quantising" and call it a day
You must check topological conditions & choose/prove independence of polarisation & the prequantum line bundle
Which is both INCREDIBLE and difficult as it stands. Yes? No? I mean I think I get this.
Like itâs almost a miracle that it works at all:
Now you're getting it! :)
And not only difficult but often simply false. Many classical phase spaces dont admit prequantum line bundles. Others don't have a unique one
And the choice of polarisation can be the difference between a finite- and infinite-dimensional Hilbert space!
âBuddyâ
âNow you're getting it! :)â
You guys are just so full of yourselves. What are youâŠin your 20s? Born around AdS/CFT? Am I your problem student finally coming along to âget itâ?
You think I canât understand you! Right? Like you are my teacher or something. Adorable.
I forget what this community is like. You do realize you are still playing with toy models working a million miles away from actual laboratory physics?
Take a look out your window Tim: No quarks. No neutrinos. No generations. You are on the train to NERPH (Not Even Remotely Physics). You just donât know it. Before long you will leave for a job so you can buy a house or retire without ever having made contact with physical reality. As a physics person. Wake up.
Youâre not even in spacetime Tim. You are likely playing with Riemann surfaces. Your âHiggs Fieldsâ are often valued in the adjoint bundles. Your metrics are often Euclidean signature. Your SUSY is likely unsupported by any LHC superpartners. Etc. Etc.
You actually think I donât get it because if I did âget itâ I would certainly agree with you.
Like I canât read what you wrote here or I wouldnât be saying these things:
If those two little interjections are enough to set you off like this, you really need to get your temper in check lmao
Remember, champ: brevity is the soul of wit
Yet your âPhysicsâ thesis is 153 pages.
Take care, slugger. https://t.co/LMn2in0Bzf
Yes.
I think the US almost certainly has at least one fake UFO program. A decoy.
Think of that decoy as putting out bad information to confuse adversaries. But what does it due to our own scientists?
Now imagine a post relativistic gravitational theory group PRTG here on earth. You would imagine that our own government would be working with that PRTG. Because that group is trying to figure out if we are trapped here, the last thing you want to do is to have the f****ng decoy program polluting our own understanding.
I think the morons in our decoy program forgot to bring in their own PRTGs. Because to a PRTG, UFOsâŠ.real NHI craftâŠ.would be key data. And fake craft is just feeding your own scientists poison and polluting their own understanding.
So we donât have ANY top tier PRTG in this game. Thatâs what makes me think there is only a fake UFO decoy program. OTOHâŠ
Can you explain your thoughts a little better?
Have you put any thought into whatâs actually going on specifically in the null hypothesis case? Whatâs this all for? Itâs not clear to me at all that there is any sensibility in either direction.
ContinuedâŠ.on the other hand it sure looks like in the 1950s we set up two cut outs and created âThe Golden Age Of General Relativityâ.
And then in the wake of Howard Morland and John Aristotle Phillips, it kinda looks like we stagnated and soft sunsetted real open research in fundamental physics with a preposterous story about String Theory and Quantum Gravity. Which makes no sense to anyone honest after 40 years of failure.
So that is pretty odd. Scientists donât shoot down new ideas for 40 years to protect one known not to work. That isnât how science works.
So that opens the question, is there a second secret physics program (like a Manhattan Project for Gravity 2.0) and perhaps a second UFO program. A non decoy. And while I see no direct evidence of NHI craft, we do have a mystery as to why the U.S. would destroy its own commanding advantage in fundamental Physics over string theory and its obvious failure. It just doesnât pass the laugh test.
The only thing I can wonder about is if we figured a bit of new physics out that lead to new Manhattan Project-level secrecy around all fundamental physics. Maybe 50 high ranking people (e.g. @SecRubio ) arenât lying with the skill of Pacino and Brando. đ€·ââïž.
Something is way off. We arenât doing physics in the open any more. And we arenât asking our own people for help. So you would be crazy not to wonderâŠWTAF?
This is, unfortunately, consistent with a second Manhattan project on Gravity. This is exactly how secret science works. For example: We stagnated chain reaction research outside los Alamos and continued doing successful physics inside the compound.
Well, the first part of this is true today. We are dead in the water in university level fundamental physics beyond GR and the SM. The second part is unknown. Is there a place where you can get paid to succeed at physics rather than paid to do things which are known not to work? I just donât know.
Moral: Physics when done well and right, is very very dangerous after all. And I want us to get back to doing physics that will go way beyond Einstein.
Even the kind that goes boom:đ„
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