Early is another name for wrong
Eric has made many observations and predictions that were "too early" and thus have gone largely unrecognized. This is an incomplete collection of such instances.
Responsible folks share w/ me hoping that if I believe them, they wont have to share under their own name. I shared some of what was shared with me.
My market saying is "Early is another name for wrong." In UFO land "Early is another name for presumed Crazy".
Time to apologize.
What am I most consistently wrong about?
A) Timing.
B) Pulling my punches.
I am usually early but not always (e.g late on COVID but, as I also say, “Early is another name for wrong.”). And I frequently live to fight again by NOT going all in when conviction is not absolute.
Predictions
- Wuhan lab
- Peer Review
- Destruction of US science with immigration visas (e.g. H-1B Visa)
2001
- Eric meets Jeffrey Epstein and immediately after concluding the meeting calls his wife and tells her he “just met a construct.”
2002
- Eric's research with A. Abdulali on valuation perversities for Mortgage Backed Securities appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. Source
2011
- Eric’s Edge.org article on Kayfabe predicted the rise of a Donald Trump-like leader who was elected President of the United States in 2016.
2016
2020
- Biden's 2024 presidential election dropout
2023
- "We may be faking a UFO situation" on Feb 21, 2023, JRE 1945 and "We may be faking a UFO situation" JRE Clip, confirmed on June 6, 2025 via WSJ article The Pentagon Disinformation That Fueled America’s UFO Mythology and June 11, 2025 via New York Post.