Early is another name for wrong: Difference between revisions

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We are collecting predictions from Eric so we may use them for anything we want in the future.
Eric has made many observations and predictions that were "too early" and thus have gone largely unrecognized. This is an incomplete collection of such instances.


Please:


* Add any prediction you like
{{Tweet
* Help add sources so we know all of these are really predictions. Make sure to include a link if possible. If you're quoting from a long piece (e.g a podcast) give a timestamp, or another useful pointer in the case of long texts.
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
* Keep the format consistent (between predictions and between versions).
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408814479815499781
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=I also wanted to say to the non-ufo community that whatever I got right largely didn't come from me. It came from patriots, fellow scientists & others who were not taken in the way I was. All I did was a bit of filtering and after market analysis given the gravity of the issue.
|thread=
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813096110411779
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Responsible folks share w/ me hoping that if I believe them, they wont have to share under their own name. I shared some of what was shared with me.
 
My market saying is [[Early is another name for wrong|"Early is another name for wrong."]]</br>
In UFO land "Early is another name for presumed Crazy".
 
Time to apologize.
|quote=
{{Tweet
|image=isasquare-profile-paAUMfFF.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/isasquare/status/1408636519963889664
|name=A.I. Adamu
|usernameurl=https://x.com/isasquare
|username=isasquare
|content=Long awaited declassified UFO report happens to be 9 pages that basically looks like @EricRWeinstein's twitter post.
|timestamp=4:01 AM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813097188347904
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=To all the UFO people who were getting it right: I blew it. I thought you were bored, easily convinced, read too much sci-fi as kids, were easily taken in. I thought there was no way this could ambiguously exist in a world flooded with sensors. I thought you were not getting it.
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813098035662856
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=I am very late to your party and even having gotten the report mostly right, it has been exceptionally unpleasant to get in front of it by even a few months. I can only imagine how it feels after the many years the US has gaslight you all while knowing you were not wrong.
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813098874531840
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=A lot of UFO people are nutty. But you the careful community that called balls and strikes as best you could with limited information deserve not only rehabilitation in the minds of the public, but some official recognition that you are to be listened to in the future. Thank you.
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813099705004035
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=I believe you now when you say that there is even much more high quality data available but that it has not been released.
 
At a personal level: You were right, I was wrong. Thanks for letting me join you at the 'last minute' in the few months before the report. I'll listen more.
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
|timestamp=3:48 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
 
 
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411001478152556544
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Note Added: I was *Wildly* wrong about AC/DC. Thought they were a joke. What was I thinking?!
|thread=
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1410999543466905601
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Big things I was vocal &amp; wrong about: psychedelics as super harmful drugs, UFOs as total BS, most likely location of Ghislaine Maxwell’s hiding country, Trump having at least *some* strategy that I couldn’t see at the end, Viability of a US mediated two state solution in M.E.,…
|timestamp=4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1410999544846815239
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=In the case of Ghislaine, I wasn’t public about it but was vocal enough to friends. In the case of a two state solution, my belief in its viability was during a period before I became active on social media. But I still see my reasoning in the above cases. Interesting to revisit.
|timestamp=4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411000957425442821
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=What am I most consistently wrong about?
 
A) Timing.
 
B) Pulling my punches.  
 
I am usually early but not always (e.g late on COVID but, as I also say, [[Early is another name for wrong|“Early is another name for wrong.”]]). And I frequently live to fight again by NOT going all in when conviction is not absolute.
|timestamp=4:36 PM · Jul 2, 2021
}}
|timestamp=4:39 PM · Jul 2, 2021
}}
 


== Predictions ==
== Predictions ==


* '''2001''' Eric meets [[25:_The_Construct:_Jeffrey_Epstein|Jeffrey Epstein]] and immediately after concluding the meeting calls his wife and tells her he “just met a construct.”
* '''2002''' [http://www.eric-weinstein.net/Papers/Weinstein_Abdulali_RISK_Vol_15_No._6_June.2002.pdf Eric's research with A. Abdulali] on valuation perversities for Mortgage Backed Securities appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. [https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/experts/eweinstein Source]
* '''2011''' Eric’s [https://www.edge.org/response-detail/11783 Edge.org] article on [[Kayfabe]] predicted the rise of a Donald Trump-like leader who was elected President of the United States in 2016.
* '''2016''' Preference falsification
* Destruction of US science with immigration visas (e.g. H1B)
* Wuhan lab
* Wuhan lab
* [[Peer Review]]
* [[Peer Review]]
* '''2024''' [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden|Biden's]] 2024 presidential election dropout
* Destruction of US science with immigration visas (e.g. [[H-1B Visa]])
 
=== 2001 ===
* Eric meets [[25:_The_Construct:_Jeffrey_Epstein|Jeffrey Epstein]] and immediately after concluding the meeting calls his wife and tells her he “just met a construct.”
 
=== 2002 ===
* [http://www.eric-weinstein.net/Papers/Weinstein_Abdulali_RISK_Vol_15_No._6_June.2002.pdf Eric's research with A. Abdulali] on valuation perversities for [[Mortgage Backed Securities]] appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. [https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/experts/eweinstein Source]


There were others, too. Let's add links to them
=== 2011 ===
* Eric’s [https://www.edge.org/response-detail/11783 Edge.org] article on [[Kayfabe]] predicted the rise of a Donald Trump-like leader who was elected President of the United States in 2016.


== Notes ==
=== 2016 ===
You can also go through the transcripts of episodes and Eric's tweets to look for more examples.
* [[Preference Falsification]]
 
=== 2020 ===
* [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden|Biden's]] 2024 presidential election dropout
 
=== 2023 ===
* "[[We may be faking a UFO situation]]" on Feb 21, 2023, [https://youtu.be/h7CJoGKvx3U?t=7207 JRE 1945] and [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v="We may be faking a UFO situation" JRE Clip], confirmed on June 6, 2025 via WSJ article [https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/ufo-us-disinformation-45376f7e The Pentagon Disinformation That Fueled America’s UFO Mythology] and  June 11, 2025 via [https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1932978904459038830 New York Post].
 
== Related Pages ==
* [[Claims]]
* [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden]]
* [[Kayfabe]]
* [[I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This]]
* [[Peer Review]]
* [[Preference Falsification]]
* [[4: Timur Kuran - The Economics of Revolution and Mass Deception|The Portal Ep 4: Timur Kuran - The Economics of Revolution and Mass Deception]]


{{WikiProject}}


[[Category:Stub]]
[[Category:Stub]]
[[Category:Projects]]
[[Category:Projects]]
[[Category:Portal Topics‏‎]]

Latest revision as of 22:54, 5 January 2026

Eric has made many observations and predictions that were "too early" and thus have gone largely unrecognized. This is an incomplete collection of such instances.


Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

Responsible folks share w/ me hoping that if I believe them, they wont have to share under their own name. I shared some of what was shared with me.

My market saying is "Early is another name for wrong."
In UFO land "Early is another name for presumed Crazy".

Time to apologize.

3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
Isasquare-profile-paAUMfFF.jpg
A.I. Adamu

Long awaited declassified UFO report happens to be 9 pages that basically looks like @EricRWeinstein's twitter post.

4:01 AM · Jun 26, 2021
Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

To all the UFO people who were getting it right: I blew it. I thought you were bored, easily convinced, read too much sci-fi as kids, were easily taken in. I thought there was no way this could ambiguously exist in a world flooded with sensors. I thought you were not getting it.

3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

I am very late to your party and even having gotten the report mostly right, it has been exceptionally unpleasant to get in front of it by even a few months. I can only imagine how it feels after the many years the US has gaslight you all while knowing you were not wrong.

3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

A lot of UFO people are nutty. But you the careful community that called balls and strikes as best you could with limited information deserve not only rehabilitation in the minds of the public, but some official recognition that you are to be listened to in the future. Thank you.

3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

I believe you now when you say that there is even much more high quality data available but that it has not been released.

At a personal level: You were right, I was wrong. Thanks for letting me join you at the 'last minute' in the few months before the report. I'll listen more.

3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

I also wanted to say to the non-ufo community that whatever I got right largely didn't come from me. It came from patriots, fellow scientists & others who were not taken in the way I was. All I did was a bit of filtering and after market analysis given the gravity of the issue.

3:48 PM · Jun 26, 2021


Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

Big things I was vocal & wrong about: psychedelics as super harmful drugs, UFOs as total BS, most likely location of Ghislaine Maxwell’s hiding country, Trump having at least *some* strategy that I couldn’t see at the end, Viability of a US mediated two state solution in M.E.,…

4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021
Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

In the case of Ghislaine, I wasn’t public about it but was vocal enough to friends. In the case of a two state solution, my belief in its viability was during a period before I became active on social media. But I still see my reasoning in the above cases. Interesting to revisit.

4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021
Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

What am I most consistently wrong about?

A) Timing.

B) Pulling my punches.

I am usually early but not always (e.g late on COVID but, as I also say, “Early is another name for wrong.”). And I frequently live to fight again by NOT going all in when conviction is not absolute.

4:36 PM · Jul 2, 2021
Eric profile picture.jpg
Eric Weinstein

Note Added: I was *Wildly* wrong about AC/DC. Thought they were a joke. What was I thinking?!

4:39 PM · Jul 2, 2021


Predictions[edit]

2001[edit]

  • Eric meets Jeffrey Epstein and immediately after concluding the meeting calls his wife and tells her he “just met a construct.”

2002[edit]

2011[edit]

  • Eric’s Edge.org article on Kayfabe predicted the rise of a Donald Trump-like leader who was elected President of the United States in 2016.

2016[edit]

2020[edit]

  • Biden's 2024 presidential election dropout

2023[edit]

Related Pages[edit]

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