Early is another name for wrong

Eric has made many observations and predictions that were "too early" and thus have gone largely unrecognized. This is a growing collection of such instances.

Please:

• Add any prediction you like
• Help add sources so we know all of these are really predictions. Make sure to include a link if possible. If you're quoting from a long piece (e.g a podcast) give a timestamp, or another useful pointer in the case of long texts.
• Keep the format consistent (between predictions and between versions).

Predictions

• 2001 Eric meets Jeffrey Epstein and immediately after concluding the meeting calls his wife and tells her he “just met a construct.”
• 2002 Eric's research with A. Abdulali on valuation perversities for Mortgage Backed Securities appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. Source
• 2011 Eric’s Edge.org article on Kayfabe predicted the rise of a Donald Trump-like leader who was elected President of the United States in 2016.
• 2016 Preference falsification
• Destruction of US science with immigration visas (e.g. H1B)
• Wuhan lab
• Peer Review
• 2024 Biden's 2024 presidential election dropout

There were others, too. Let's add links to them

Related Pages

• The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden
• I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This
• Peer Review

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