Editing 2: What Is The Portal/lang-fr
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[00:03:04] Le Portail cherche à percer cette bulle, à regarder le monde au-delà de la paresse et de la stagnation rempantes au sein des médias institutionnels à travers [[Gated Institutional Narrative|les structures héritées en charge de production de sens]], et à écouter une conversation différente, une conversation que la plupart d'entre vous ne connaît pas, et dans laquelle des acteurs et noms différents sont mis en lumière, tandis que les experts et commentateurs familiers sortent de la scène. | [00:03:04] Le Portail cherche à percer cette bulle, à regarder le monde au-delà de la paresse et de la stagnation rempantes au sein des médias institutionnels à travers [[Gated Institutional Narrative|les structures héritées en charge de production de sens]], et à écouter une conversation différente, une conversation que la plupart d'entre vous ne connaît pas, et dans laquelle des acteurs et noms différents sont mis en lumière, tandis que les experts et commentateurs familiers sortent de la scène. | ||
[00:03:33] | [00:03:33] Now, what is it that this group of people is thinking about? What are they working on? What do they believe? Well, in part, many of them are worried about the idea of complacency and excited about the idea of breaking through a portal into a different space. Sometimes that's in an area like [[Convex Hull of Radical Longevity|radical life extension]], where so far up until the present, almost no one has gotten beyond the, um, biblical age of Moses set at 120 years by convention. | ||
[00:04:04] | [00:04:04] If that's been the hard stop, some people are now dreaming about life expectancies that could go into 200 or 300 years if we could only find access to the right molecular mechanisms. Likewise, in areas like physics, we have the possibility that there are two main dominant theories that are irreconcilable and therefore incomplete. | ||
[00:04:27] | [00:04:27] What if we had an ability to bridge those theories and come up with a much more detailed and accurate theory that spanned both the phenomena covered by Einstein's general relativity and the quantum theory known as the standard model? Would there be something to do, something wholly unexpected? We don't know. | ||
[00:04:49] | [00:04:49] We also dream of limitless energy. Perhaps fusion technology or incredible storage devices would allow us to harness, you know, much greener energy sources. [[The Square Root of Capitalism|Perhaps we would find some way of living in a world of abundance]] in which we could print things, freeing us from drudgery using artificial intelligence and machine learning, | ||
[00:05:10] | [00:05:10] and learn to have much more harmonious and fulfilling existences, or perhaps this would unleash some sort of economic problem whereby very few of us would be able to earn a living in this new world and that the abundance that we thought we craved would in fact be a curse in disguise. What I want to do is to talk to you very simply and plainly about the problems that we currently face that almost no one is willing to discuss, and that is that we have a world | ||
[00:05:37] [Embedded Growth Obligation| | [00:05:37] [[Embedded Growth Obligation|largely built for rapid growth]] in which that kind of broad growth is no longer found easily, simply by looking with better instruments, with more patience and more detail at the world in which we live. Let me give you a slightly different picture of where we are as a society. One that you've probably not thought of. | ||
[00:06:00] | [00:06:00] Imagine somebody who has graduated from high school, but one, two, three years later hasn't found something else to do with their life and they're hanging around the same high school as fewer and fewer of the students that they once knew continue to attend classes. Effectively, this is getting creepier and creepier, and I think that that's in large measure where we are with the technological revolutions that we have undertaken. | ||
[00:06:26] | [00:06:26] At some point it was incredibly cool to figure out how to place a long distance call between continents, but this has become commonplace. Likewise, many of the fantastic things that once got us excited about the release of every new iPhone now has us relatively unexcited about the new suite of apps and features that every new phone promises will be slightly different than the one before. | ||
[00:06:51] | [00:06:51] So I think what's important to think about is how optimistic we once were. What did we think we were going to do? I think we thought we were going to be curing diseases. Wouldn't it be great not to have lost anyone in your family from cancer when we declared a war on cancer in the early 1970s? What did we think we were going to be doing with energy? | ||
[00:07:10] | [00:07:10] Didn't we think that fusion was around the corner? If you think about all of the things that we could be doing, we've learned in most of these areas that it is no longer mature to hope, to imagine that somehow we are going to be able to make the future very different than the present. Yes, things will get a little bit better, but are they going to get dramatically better? | ||
[00:07:33] | [00:07:33] Are we going to be leading a life in our here, in our now that would allow a kind of escapist lifestyle that we saw on Star Trek, or even in Star Wars, which came out in the sixties and seventies respectively? I think that in general, most of us have realized that these dreams have remained dreams for so long that we've consigned them to the world of children. | ||
[00:07:55] | [00:07:55] Perhaps very dim people believe these things. What I'm interested in is trying to get the smartest, most dynamic and most agentic people in our society once again talking to each other and ignoring the people who are most focused on dampening all of our enthusiasm. Now perhaps, you think, look, this doesn't sound very scientific. | ||
[00:08:16] | [00:08:16] Shouldn't we be relying on the best systems we have? For example, isn't [[Peer Review|peer reviewed science]] the gold standard? Well, I would say no. Peer review is a relatively recent invention, and I would even say an intrusion into the hard sciences. In 1953 when the double helix was elucidated by Watson and Crick, they submitted it to the journal Nature. | ||
[00:08:39] | [00:08:39] But it was never a peer reviewed. Why? Because an editor's job was to figure out whether it was worthy of publication. And in fact, the editor at the time, if I recall correctly, said that anybody who saw this paper would be so influenced by it, that he couldn't take the risk sending it out for any kind of review. | ||
[00:08:56] | [00:08:56] Well, if that's true, let's say peer review isn't really the centerpiece of our science. Is the scientific method the centerpiece of our science? Well, at some level, sure, it's like proof checking, but a lot of the work that we do in science has been incredibly imaginative. And you might even say it's been irresponsible until it comes into final form and can be reconciled with experiment. | ||
[00:09:19] | [00:09:19] But instead, we've developed a culture in which immediately upon proposing something, we are told that the sine qua non of science is that there be an agreement between theory and experiment. Well, this is wholly untrue. In fact, if you go back to Paul Dirac's great Scientific American article in the early sixties, he says that it is much more important than a physical theory have mathematical beauty | ||
[00:09:47] | [00:09:47] and that we learn to trust a theory, even when it doesn't agree with experiment, if it has a kind of intellectual coherence to it. But how often are people pointed to something like Dirac's 1963 paper? In fact, you could look to Jim Watson, who's told us that in order to make great advances, we have to be irresponsible. | ||
[00:10:09] | [00:10:09] Now, this is a very odd feature of the world. Many of our top people do not seem to play by [[Distributed Idea Suppression Complex|the rules that have been set for everyone else]]. And the question is, if we are in a situation in which we have unleashed such incredible destructive power as we did with the hydrogen bomb, and in potentially unlocking the cell, | ||
[00:10:28] | [00:10:28] why is it that we are so incredibly timid about what it is that we might do next? We have all the destructive power that we need already at our fingertips. What we don't have is the ability to escape our fate. In fact, what we need is to find The Portal, to find a way out, to find new economic vistas that will allow far | ||
[00:10:49] | [00:10:49] larger numbers of people to participate without causing an ecological disaster. If you take all the people, let's say, in India, China, and Bangladesh, what have you, who are leading lives at a far lower economic level than we are, if you were to elevate them to our current level as we have in the United States, you would be causing an ecological disaster. | ||
[00:11:10] | [00:11:10] Well, clearly we are not going to leave these people behind. We need them to be full participants in whatever beautiful future we're trying to create. And that future has to be ecologically sound because we don't have the ability to despoil the planet as we dream about universal human prosperity. So what are we going to do? | ||
[00:11:28] | [00:11:28] Well, I think that the most irresponsible thing to do is to stop dreaming, to get our dreams to be so small that we're not embarrassed to share them in public. I think what we need to do is to start dreaming much more aggressively, dream much bigger, and start dreaming in public with each other, harmoniously | ||
[00:11:48] | [00:11:48] if we can, or have our dreams fight each other, but at least start unlocking the potential of human imagination and not immediately grounding every new idea in some sort of race to see whether we can invalidate it, give it enough of a room to grow. You know, this is how we used to talk about protecting infant industries before we decided that free trade should always be the rule of the day and that we should have no barriers to protect, uh, new ideas in a nursery where they might learn to thrive before testing to see whether they can survive as adults. | ||
[00:12:23] | [00:12:23] What we're going to do in this program is effectively to declare war. War on stasis. War on group think. War on everything that has enervated our society, and we're going to do it because we have the ability now to [[Slipping the DISC|compete with the networks]] that previously grew up to distribute whatever it was that was portrayed as sense-making. | ||
[00:12:44] You can tell that there's something wrong with both CNN and Fox. If you're reading the New York times carefully, you can tell that the narrative arcs in the daily newspaper clearly have to have been thought out to cover many days in long before the facts are known. Somehow we are living in somebody else's reality. | [00:12:44] You can tell that there's something wrong with both CNN and Fox. If you're reading the New York times carefully, you can tell that the narrative arcs in the daily newspaper clearly have to have been thought out to cover many days in long before the facts are known. Somehow we are living in somebody else's reality. |