Editing Russia (section)

=== 2018 ===

{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/956346752130416640
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Okay CNN. So right now, I'm trying to imagine a 2018 America where citizens trust their government so much that they demand to be kept in the dark by self-organizing a campaign of silence for non-release so disciplined that it has to be broken by an army of Russian bots.

#CNNFUD https://t.co/frTZUFSQ5W
|timestamp=2:03 AM · Jan 25, 2018
}}


{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021896630943997952
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@ScottAdamsSays So this surprises me Scott. I imagined you must be thinking something like Trump figured out how to get the Theocrats to crumble from within by bringing a tweet to a knife fight...and winning. But now you’re just pointing out that we are better armed for a real fight. Is that it?
|thread=
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021320869283475458
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=I rarely talk Trump. I never know when he’s actually crazy or crazy like a fox. I’ve called him an existential risk. I thought that was clear enough. He’s an existential risk who, ex-post, might do some good, but at unacceptably high ex-ante risk.

I can’t believe we’re here.
|timestamp=9:07 AM · Jul 23, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021428486521597953
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@DavidDeutschOxf @SamHarrisOrg Yes. Exactly. It was likely a slower version of existential risk by inaction. 

The thing that disturbs me most is that neither Trump version nor the more sober Clinton/Bush/Obama type strategy are likely to be anywhere near the efficient frontier of possible approaches.
|timestamp=4:15 PM · Jul 23, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021512444420575232
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@ScottAdamsSays Hey Scott. Ok. Walk me through it? 
Who are Trump’s allies w/ whom we’ve been carefully rehearsing &amp; co-strategizing in case this goes hot? What’s the plan for a simultaneous China trade war, N Korea deterioration, attacking our own IC, &amp; political infighting around Russian ties?
|timestamp=9:48 PM · Jul 23, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021513855808098304
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@ScottAdamsSays I’m open to drunken boxing, or crazy-like-a-fox. I get the Vincent “The Chin” Gigante ‘walk around G. Village in your bathrobe routine’ to avoid being easy prey. But wouldn’t he be very focused on having great relations w/ our Intelligence Community &amp; Allies to be hyper credible?
|timestamp=9:54 PM · Jul 23, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021514611693051905
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@ScottAdamsSays Ok. I’m a civilian with zero experience in battle. I thought a credible threat requires a lot of advanced planning and not fighting on a lot of distracting fronts all at once. Is the idea that everything will quiet down and all will fall in line when things get real? #confused
|timestamp=9:57 PM · Jul 23, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021515215219769344
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@ScottAdamsSays Just 2%. Okay at least that’s at least arguably de minimis.  From where does that estimate come? How are you getting there?
|timestamp=9:59 PM · Jul 23, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021515914015985664
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@ScottAdamsSays We do? Okay. What does that look like? Especially in the opportunistic scenario where everyone scrambled to make hay while the US is distracted. Is it just lightening fast? Does it stay conventional? Civilian casualty estimates? Paint me your picture. #givemeyourconfidence
|timestamp=10:02 PM · Jul 23, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021544958757466112
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@ScottAdamsSays Post WMD? Post Vietnam? Post Trump? Post Church/Pike. I dunno. Maybe. But Scott. I gotta be honest. You seem to be confusing “people don’t get that this could work out” with “this is so cool, it’s gonna work fine” and I don’t know where you get the extra juice to make that leap.
|timestamp=11:57 PM · Jul 23, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021545803620335616
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@DavidDeutschOxf @SamHarrisOrg I like standing up to backwards human rights violating nuclear obsessed theocracy. I just wish it were part of a plan. I never underestimate Persians. They always seem to me some of the shrewdest players around. But thanks David.
|timestamp=12:01 AM · Jul 24, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021548361264975872
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@ScottAdamsSays I see the next level psychological manipulation or persuasion as you do. That’s not where we are missing.

Trump is “short volatility” here. So “generally” is irrelevant. It’s about expected value. How do you get from generally positive to positive expected value? Help me out SA?
|timestamp=12:11 AM · Jul 24, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021552210352586752
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@BowDownB4Trump @DavidDeutschOxf @SamHarrisOrg That’s why I said theocracy....
|timestamp=12:26 AM · Jul 24, 2018
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1021606371240755202
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@ScottAdamsSays It’s the standard Russian Roulette problem with many chambers and one bullet. If every spin is worth $50K it generally works out, albeit with negative expected value.
|timestamp=4:01 AM · Jul 24, 2018
}}
|timestamp=11:15 PM · Jul 24, 2018
}}


{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1029611043851390976
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@VitalikButerin So interesting that you are asking this. Emotive conjugation or Russell conjugation is what you seek. What is it in Russian I wonder?
|timestamp=6:09 AM · Aug 15, 2018
}}