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[[File:ERW-X-post-1873283988804223195-Gf888ebasAAGE0-.jpg|thumb|Photograph from the secret NSF study that led to the H-1B.]] Eric Weinstein consistently discusses the [[H-1B Visa|H-1B visa program]] as the product of a deliberate "labor tampering conspiracy" orchestrated in the mid-1980s by key U.S. institutions, including the [[National Science Foundation (NSF)]], and the the [[Government University Industry Research Round Table (GUIRR)|Government-University-Industry Research Roundtable (GUIRR)]] within the [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)]]. He traces its roots to a secret 1986 NSF economic study conducted under [[Erich Bloch|NSF Director Erich Bloch]], with involvement from [[Peter House]] (head of [[NSF Policy Research and Analysis Division (PRA)|NSF's Policy Research and Analysis Division]]) and [[Myles Boylan|economist Myles Boylan]]. This study, titled "The Pipeline For Scientific and Technical Personnel: Past Lessons Applied to Future Changes of Interest to Policy-Makers and Human Resource Specialists," projected that new U.S. PhDs in science and engineering (S&E) fields would command salaries exceeding $100,000 (in 1986 dollars) due to market dynamics, which the study labeled a "pessimistic scenario" because it would require employers to pay competitive wages. To avert this, the NSF allegedly suppressed the economic model's demand-side projections and instead produced a flawed, supply-only demographic study predicting a massive "shortfall" of 675,000 S&E bachelor's degrees between 1986 and 2011, based solely on declining numbers of 22-year-olds without considering wage adjustments or market equilibrium. {{Tweet |image=Eric profile picture.jpg |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1873291832538636667 |name=Eric Weinstein |usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein |username=EricRWeinstein |content=Posted this later, as an example: |quote= {{Tweet |image=Eric profile picture.jpg |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1873283988804223195 |name=Eric Weinstein |usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein |username=EricRWeinstein |content="A growing influx of foreign PhD's into U.S. labor markets will hold down the level of PhD salaries to the extent that foreign students are attracted to U.S. doctoral programs as a way of immigrating to the U.S." -Photograph from the secret [[National Science Foundation (NSF)|@NSF]] study that led to the [[H-1B Visa|H-1B]]. |timestamp=8:24 AM · Dec 29, 2024 |media1=ERW-X-post-1873283988804223195-Gf888ebasAAGE0-.jpg }} |thread= {{Tweet |image=Eric profile picture.jpg |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1873260798010900772 |name=Eric Weinstein |usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein |username=EricRWeinstein |content=I highly recommend learning about the history of where [[H-1B Visa|H-1B]] came from before getting emotionally invested in it. It was born as a [[Labor Shortages|labor tampering conspiracy]] against American scientists headquartered at the [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)|@theNASEM]] ([[Government University Industry Research Round Table (GUIRR)|GUIRR]]) & [[National Science Foundation (NSF)|@nsf]] ([[NSF Policy Research and Analysis Division (PRA)|PRA]]) under [[Erich Bloch]]. https://www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives/blog/how-why-government-universities-industry-create-domestic-labor-shortages-of-scientists-high-tech-workers |timestamp=6:52 AM · Dec 29, 2024 }} |timestamp=8:55 AM · Dec 29, 2024 }} This manipulated shortfall narrative, Weinstein argues, directly influenced the [[IMMACT90|Immigration Act of 1990 (IMMACT90)]], which tripled permanent skilled worker visas to approximately 27,000 per year, introduced the [[H-1B Visa|H-1B temporary visa category for specialty occupations]], and created the "Einstein Exemption" waiving labor certification requirements for certain "priority workers." He describes this as an "out and out conspiracy" headquartered at [[National Science Foundation (NSF)|NSF]] (via its [[NSF Policy Research and Analysis Division (PRA)|Policy Research and Analysis]] division) and [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)|NAS]] (via [[Government University Industry Research Round Table (GUIRR)|GUIRR]]), designed to interfere with free labor markets on behalf of employers, universities, and industry, rather than scientists or national interests. Weinstein emphasizes that this was not incompetence but intentional: the NSF hid the competent economic study (a "smoking gun") and faked an incompetent one to justify flooding the market, as he deduced from first principles using a concept he calls [[The Invisible World is First Detected by the Visible World’s Failure to Close|"failure to close"]] in systems analysis. He presented this evidence multiple times at NAS events in 2003, noting the lack of public records of these presentations as further proof of suppression. Weinstein repeatedly urges people to learn this history before engaging emotionally, warning that H-1B is a "political football" designed to divide good people. He points to the absence of mainstream media coverage over 25+ years as evidence of a broader [[The Distributed Idea Suppression Complex (The DISC)|"Distributed Idea Suppression Complex" (DISC)]], [[Gated Institutional Narrative (GIN)|"Gated Institutional Narrative" (GIN)]] and [[Managed Reality TM]], where inconvenient truths are silenced.
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