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UAP (edit)

Revision as of 17:35, 20 January 2026

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Now I believe it’s more likely to be real, having updated my Bayesian priors. And, again, apologies to all of you I’ve denigrated.
Now I believe it’s more likely to be real, having updated my Bayesian priors. And, again, apologies to all of you I’ve denigrated.
|quote=
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|image=HeyLukOverThere-profile-_z7uVj6V.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/HeyLukOverThere/status/1480268556692594698
|name=Dan Warren
|usernameurl=https://x.com/HeyLukOverThere
|username=HeyLukOverThere
|content=MEGA-THREAD! The @usairforce Academy taught their future leaders about UFO's in Physics 370 from 1968-70! The following videos contain the information that was included in Chapter 33 "UFO's" of a textbook titled "Introductory Space Science". #ufo #ufotwitter 1/11
|timestamp=8:01 PM · Jan 9, 2022
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|timestamp=3:40 PM · Jan 10, 2022
|timestamp=3:40 PM · Jan 10, 2022
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Can we just end the secrecy?
Can we just end the secrecy?
|quote=
{{Tweet
|image=AlchemyAmerican-profile-m7b-xXZu.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/AlchemyAmerican/status/1492227610474008576
|name=Jesse Michels
|usernameurl=https://x.com/AlchemyAmerican
|username=AlchemyAmerican
|content=Mind-breaking discussion between the great @EricRWeinstein and @haroldputhoff (former NSA/CIA/AATIP) on the (possible) physics of UFO’s, private aerospace as holders of scientific secrets and Hal’s experience running Stargate (CIA psychic spy program) —>
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|timestamp=8:02 PM · Feb 11, 2022
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|timestamp=11:42 AM · Feb 12, 2022
|timestamp=11:42 AM · Feb 12, 2022
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|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=For those of you speculating on channels reaching out to Sam Harris, myself and others on UFO/UAP. There was a minimum of one planned dissemination that got called off for reasons unknown. I am not at liberty to discuss. But I can say why people like Sam are likely to be quiet.
|content=For those of you speculating on channels reaching out to Sam Harris, myself and others on UFO/UAP. There was a minimum of one planned dissemination that got called off for reasons unknown. I am not at liberty to discuss. But I can say why people like Sam are likely to be quiet.
|quote=
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|image=MathieuVVyve-profile-9glbMEaD.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/MathieuVVyve/status/1524660616857796608
|name=Mathieu Van Vyve
|usernameurl=https://x.com/MathieuVVyve
|username=MathieuVVyve
|content=Interesting. It's a question I've been asking myself for 11 months: why did Harris said 3 times he's been contacted, etc..., then just shut up without any further explanation. At least you have a possible explanation. Have you heard other plausible ones?
|timestamp=7:59 AM · May 12, 2022
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|timestamp=3:13 PM · May 12, 2022
|timestamp=3:13 PM · May 12, 2022
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@MickWest Appreciate your perspective. Didn’t have that before. Thanks Mick.
|content=Appreciate your perspective. Didn’t have that before. Thanks Mick.
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|thread=
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This UAP coin always seems to land on its side.
This UAP coin always seems to land on its side.
|quote=
{{Tweet
|image=MickWest-profile-YwDcskvI.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/MickWest/status/1526604071808798721
|name=Mick West
|usernameurl=https://x.com/MickWest
|username=MickWest
|content=The UAP hearings in a nutshell.
"I can't point to something that definitively was not manmade. But I can point to a number of examples which remain unresolved." - Scott Bray
|timestamp=4:42 PM · May 17, 2022
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|timestamp=5:45 PM · May 17, 2022
|timestamp=5:45 PM · May 17, 2022
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{{Tweet
|image=MickWest-profile-YwDcskvI.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/MickWest/status/1526624108296871936
|name=Mick West
|usernameurl=https://x.com/MickWest
|username=MickWest
|content=Maybe it's not a coin?
Maybe there are not just two sides?
UAP represent a variety of things. Regardless of how many things are identified, there will ALWAYS be unidentified flying objects.
|timestamp=6:02 PM · May 17, 2022
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@MickWest Mick, I don’t know how to communicate this, but you seem to want to be a dedicated debunker here. What direct evidence has been shared with the public, on its own, doesn’t seem to require this level of aggressive debunking. It’s just not that compelling. I agree with you on that.
|content=Mick, I don’t know how to communicate this, but you seem to want to be a dedicated debunker here. What direct evidence has been shared with the public, on its own, doesn’t seem to require this level of aggressive debunking. It’s just not that compelling. I agree with you on that.
|timestamp=6:45 PM · May 17, 2022
|timestamp=6:45 PM · May 17, 2022
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1526635638191099905
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=The weird part is specifically the indirect evidence where your debunking is less effective. It’s an unbelievable sea of weird behavior and strange recountings by sober people: I don’t know what to make of it. But it doesn’t seem like a spontaneous need to see faces in clouds.
|timestamp=6:47 PM · May 17, 2022
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@MickWest Simply put, trying to turn it all into the occult + swamp gas + reflections on a lens + lying to get attention etc
doesn’t seem very compelling. Some of it is surely that, but something else is likely at play. There’s too much that doesn’t fit that description for it to so easy.
|content=Simply put, trying to turn it all into the occult + swamp gas + reflections on a lens + lying to get attention etc
doesn’t seem very compelling. Some of it is surely that, but something else is likely at play. There’s too much that doesn’t fit that description for it to so easy.
|timestamp=6:51 PM · May 17, 2022
|timestamp=6:51 PM · May 17, 2022
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@MickWest Hope you are right. Or wrong. But this is seemingly a lot weirder than you are admitting. Too many grownups with security clearances and training telling too many similar stories at this point. Maybe it’s all fake. If so, I’d be impressed. But I don’t understand your confidence.
|content=Hope you are right. Or wrong. But this is seemingly a lot weirder than you are admitting. Too many grownups with security clearances and training telling too many similar stories at this point. Maybe it’s all fake. If so, I’d be impressed. But I don’t understand your confidence.
|timestamp=6:53 PM · May 17, 2022
|timestamp=6:53 PM · May 17, 2022
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{{Tweet
|image=MickWest-profile-YwDcskvI.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/MickWest/status/1526681642491793408
|name=Mick West
|usernameurl=https://x.com/MickWest
|username=MickWest
|content=I think very few cases are lying, most are simply honest mistakes, even mistakes by experts and highly trained professionals. With large numbers, things happen.
My confidence is simply a sober assessment after looking at many cases and having found them lacking. I extrapolate.
|timestamp=9:50 PM · May 17, 2022
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|timestamp=10:15 PM · May 17, 2022
|timestamp=10:15 PM · May 17, 2022
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{{Tweet
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1526700213657690112
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1526700215457107968
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=This is coming to feel like an infinite tease. Let’s stop making our nation, our military & our government look like idiots. Reveal or don’t. Show or don’t. We all get that there are security issues. But stop teasing with blobs, blurs and snippets less convincing than deep fakes.
|thread=
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1526700213657690112
|name=Eric Weinstein
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
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Enough already.
Enough already.
|quote=
{{Tweet
|image=Reuters-profile-nJDmubGJ.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/Reuters/status/1526636166434406400
|name=Reuters
|usernameurl=https://x.com/Reuters
|username=Reuters
|content=Two senior U.S. defense intelligence officials said the Pentagon is committed to determining the origins of what it calls ‘unidentified aerial phenomena,’ commonly termed UFOs, but acknowledged many remain beyond the government's ability to explain
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-congress-panel-hold-first-ufo-hearings-half-century-2022-05-17/
|timestamp=11:04 PM · May 17, 2022
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|timestamp=11:04 PM · May 17, 2022
|timestamp=11:04 PM · May 17, 2022
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{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1526700215457107968
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=This is coming to feel like an infinite tease. Let’s stop making our nation, our military & our government look like idiots. Reveal or don’t. Show or don’t. We all get that there are security issues. But stop teasing with blobs, blurs and snippets less convincing than deep fakes.
|timestamp=11:04 PM · May 17, 2022
|timestamp=11:04 PM · May 17, 2022
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{{Tweet
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1594057250833768449
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1594058579916431360
|name=Eric Weinstein
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@TOEwithCurt I think that there is a lot more deliberate mis/disinformation right now and a modest increase in the level of information. So far as I can make out, they seem related. It’s as if as soon as more needles appear, haystacks arrive that make them hard to find.
|content=As to intuition
.we don’t and shouldn’t have much.
 
Hard UFO/UAP data is supposed to be all about the unprecedented. Disinformation and superstition is all well precedented. So intuition should say it’s all BS. The whole thing comes down to hard data.
 
Intuition here is useless.
|thread=
{{Tweet
|image=TOEwithCurt-profile.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/TOEwithCurt/status/1594039076902027265
|name=Curt Jaimungal
|usernameurl=https://x.com/TOEwithCurt
|username=TOEwithCurt
|content=Has the noise to signal ratio of UFO disinformation (or misinformation) vs. information increased in the past few years, or decreased?


I’m pretty annoyed.
If it's increased, have our denoising programs (eg. intuition about what's "BS") gotten better to compensate or are we more lost than before?
|timestamp=7:57 PM · Nov 19, 2022
|timestamp=6:45 PM · Nov 19, 2022
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{{Tweet
|image=TOEwithCurt-profile.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/TOEwithCurt/status/1594039078445629441
|name=Curt Jaimungal
|usernameurl=https://x.com/TOEwithCurt
|username=TOEwithCurt
|content=I'm curious to know what you think @EricRWeinstein.
|timestamp=6:45 PM · Nov 19, 2022
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{{Tweet
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1594058579916431360
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1594057250833768449
|name=Eric Weinstein
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=@TOEwithCurt As to intuition
.we don’t and shouldn’t have much.
|content=I think that there is a lot more deliberate mis/disinformation right now and a modest increase in the level of information. So far as I can make out, they seem related. It’s as if as soon as more needles appear, haystacks arrive that make them hard to find.


Hard UFO/UAP data is supposed to be all about the unprecedented. Disinformation and superstition is all well precedented. So intuition should say it’s all BS. The whole thing comes down to hard data.
I’m pretty annoyed.
 
|timestamp=7:57 PM · Nov 19, 2022
Intuition here is useless.
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|timestamp=8:02 PM · Nov 19, 2022
|timestamp=8:02 PM · Nov 19, 2022
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