18: Slipping the DISC: State of The Portal and Chapter 2020: Difference between revisions

Now in the story that has this major through-line that we've been following, the next thing that happens

 

 

what's really important is a guy named Derek de Sola Price starts to calculate that science is on an exponential trajectory and rather than thinking that that's a great thing. He starts to understand that anything on an exponential trajectory can't really go on because it's going to burn itself out and if science is the Original Seed corn if you will of technology and Technology of Economics, then effectively what's going to happen in science is going to percolate through a chain through technology and into the economy with a potential stagnation coming now, he started to arrive at these ideas. I think a DL in the late 1950s.

It was not well understood what he was talking about and still I I'm always shocked that the book science since Babylon which he wrote and which discusses this issue is so much less well-known than say Thomas Kuhn structure of science scientific revolutions. For some reason. This is so disappear to so many people that we'd actually don't discuss it.

Studying this work led to the idea of talking about egos that is embedded growth obligations. Now better growth obligations are the way in which institutions plan their future predicated on legacies of growth and sent the. Between the end of World War II in 1945 in the early 70s had such an unusually beautiful growth Russia many of our institutions became predicated upon low variance technology-led stable broadly distributed growth. Now, this is a world we have not seen in an organic way since the early 1970s and yet because it was embedded in our institutions. What we have is a world in which the expectation is still present in the form of an embedded growth obligation. That is the pension plans. The corporate ladders are all still built very much around the world that has long since vanished.