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Early is another name for wrong: Difference between revisions

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Early is another name for wrong (edit)

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Text replacement - "|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein↔|username=EricRWeinstein" to "|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein |username=ericweinstein"
m (Text replacement - "|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein↔|username=EricRWeinstein" to "|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein |username=ericweinstein")
 
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Eric has made many observations and predictions that were "too early" and thus have gone largely unrecognized. This is an incomplete collection of such instances.
Eric has made many observations and predictions that were "too early" and thus have gone largely unrecognized. This is an incomplete collection of such instances.


{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408814479815499781
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=I also wanted to say to the non-ufo community that whatever I got right largely didn't come from me. It came from patriots, fellow scientists & others who were not taken in the way I was. All I did was a bit of filtering and after market analysis given the gravity of the issue.
|thread=
{{Tweet
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813096110411779
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813096110411779
|name=Eric Weinstein
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=Responsible folks share w/ me hoping that if I believe them, they wont have to share under their own name. I shared some of what was shared with me.
|content=Responsible folks share w/ me hoping that if I believe them, they wont have to share under their own name. I shared some of what was shared with me.


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Time to apologize.
Time to apologize.
|quote=
{{Tweet
|image=isasquare-profile-paAUMfFF.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/isasquare/status/1408636519963889664
|name=A.I. Adamu
|usernameurl=https://x.com/isasquare
|username=isasquare
|content=Long awaited declassified UFO report happens to be 9 pages that basically looks like @EricRWeinstein's twitter post.
|timestamp=4:01 AM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813097188347904
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=To all the UFO people who were getting it right: I blew it. I thought you were bored, easily convinced, read too much sci-fi as kids, were easily taken in. I thought there was no way this could ambiguously exist in a world flooded with sensors. I thought you were not getting it.
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813098035662856
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=I am very late to your party and even having gotten the report mostly right, it has been exceptionally unpleasant to get in front of it by even a few months. I can only imagine how it feels after the many years the US has gaslight you all while knowing you were not wrong.
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813098874531840
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=A lot of UFO people are nutty. But you the careful community that called balls and strikes as best you could with limited information deserve not only rehabilitation in the minds of the public, but some official recognition that you are to be listened to in the future. Thank you.
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813099705004035
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=I believe you now when you say that there is even much more high quality data available but that it has not been released.
At a personal level: You were right, I was wrong. Thanks for letting me join you at the 'last minute' in the few months before the report. I'll listen more.
|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
|timestamp=3:48 PM · Jun 26, 2021
}}
}}




{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411001478152556544
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=Note Added: I was *Wildly* wrong about AC/DC. Thought they were a joke. What was I thinking?!
|thread=
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1410999543466905601
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=Big things I was vocal & wrong about: psychedelics as super harmful drugs, UFOs as total BS, most likely location of Ghislaine Maxwell’s hiding country, Trump having at least *some* strategy that I couldn’t see at the end, Viability of a US mediated two state solution in M.E.,

|timestamp=4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1410999544846815239
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=In the case of Ghislaine, I wasn’t public about it but was vocal enough to friends. In the case of a two state solution, my belief in its viability was during a period before I became active on social media. But I still see my reasoning in the above cases. Interesting to revisit.
|timestamp=4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021
}}
{{Tweet
{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411000957425442821
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411000957425442821
|name=Eric Weinstein
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=ericweinstein
|content=What am I most consistently wrong about?  
|content=What am I most consistently wrong about?  


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|timestamp=4:36 PM · Jul 2, 2021
|timestamp=4:36 PM · Jul 2, 2021
}}
}}
|timestamp=4:39 PM · Jul 2, 2021
}}


== Predictions ==
== Predictions ==
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=== 2002 ===
=== 2002 ===
* [http://www.eric-weinstein.net/Papers/Weinstein_Abdulali_RISK_Vol_15_No._6_June.2002.pdf Eric's research with A. Abdulali] on valuation perversities for [[Mortgage Backed Securities]] appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. [https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/experts/eweinstein Source]
* [[Hedge fund transparency: quantifying valuation bias for illiquid assets|Eric's research with A. Abdulali]] on valuation perversities for [[Mortgage Backed Securities]] appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. [https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/experts/eweinstein Source]


=== 2011 ===
=== 2011 ===
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