Decision Tree: Difference between revisions
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1141020393353838599 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1141020393353838599 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@William_Blake There will always be things to do. Agreed. At what level of compensation remains the question. | |content=@William_Blake There will always be things to do. Agreed. At what level of compensation remains the question. | ||
|thread= | |thread= | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1140996831414898688 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1140996831414898688 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Letās assume you donāt love UBI for all the usual reasonable reasons. Letās also assume that the economy stops being able to really perform adequately for the unremarkable median worker in childbearing and rearing years. Ā | |content=Letās assume you donāt love UBI for all the usual reasonable reasons. Letās also assume that the economy stops being able to really perform adequately for the unremarkable median worker in childbearing and rearing years. Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1140998025277407232 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1140998025277407232 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Note: āeducation/trainingā above means that you are betting on education and training with no gaurantee of success, already knowing that the median individual is not able to make the economy work. | |content=Note: āeducation/trainingā above means that you are betting on education and training with no gaurantee of success, already knowing that the median individual is not able to make the economy work. | ||
|timestamp=3:01 PM Ā· Jun 18, 2019 | |timestamp=3:01 PM Ā· Jun 18, 2019 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1141003905708380160 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1141003905708380160 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@William_Blake Yes. Only itās called a [[Decision Tree|decision tree]]. Iām trying to cut off access to the other branch so that we explore this one. I donāt believe we are definitely on this branch. Ā | |content=@William_Blake Yes. Only itās called a [[Decision Tree|decision tree]]. Iām trying to cut off access to the other branch so that we explore this one. I donāt believe we are definitely on this branch. Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1213136846848327680 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1213136846848327680 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@PsychPLockwood Iām essentially certain that it canāt. At least initially. Too many players. Too many moves. | |content=@PsychPLockwood Iām essentially certain that it canāt. At least initially. Too many players. Too many moves. | ||
|thread= | |thread= | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1213038610116513792 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1213038610116513792 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Trying to imagine the [[Decision Tree|decision trees]] multiplying as we go forward from here. Ā | |content=Trying to imagine the [[Decision Tree|decision trees]] multiplying as we go forward from here. Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224783433601126402 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224783433601126402 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@IdoShamirIdo Thatās why I asked: whether it is incompetence or malice or lack of ability to communicate what happened is almost immaterial. I donāt need to know. I do know that there should be a clear story by now under all assumptions. | |content=@IdoShamirIdo Thatās why I asked: whether it is incompetence or malice or lack of ability to communicate what happened is almost immaterial. I donāt need to know. I do know that there should be a clear story by now under all assumptions. | ||
|thread= | |thread= | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224780022407299073 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224780022407299073 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=What is being suppressed in Iowa? Iām not understanding the narratives and their conflicts. Ā | |content=What is being suppressed in Iowa? Iām not understanding the narratives and their conflicts. Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224780464658890752 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224780464658890752 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Note: I have zero inside information. | |content=Note: I have zero inside information. | ||
|timestamp=7:43 PM Ā· Feb 04, 2020 | |timestamp=7:43 PM Ā· Feb 04, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224781585817329664 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224781585817329664 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@CaitlinPacific So...That isnāt nothing. Not by a long shot. Are we testing in production?? | |content=@CaitlinPacific So...That isnāt nothing. Not by a long shot. Are we testing in production?? | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224782603477123072 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1224782603477123072 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@thenotfakepaul Thatās a basic issue. All branches of the [[Decision Tree|decision tree]] are poisoned in such cases. | |content=@thenotfakepaul Thatās a basic issue. All branches of the [[Decision Tree|decision tree]] are poisoned in such cases. | ||
|timestamp=7:51 PM Ā· Feb 04, 2020 | |timestamp=7:51 PM Ā· Feb 04, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241834811829846016 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241834811829846016 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Here are the questions I want asked: Ā | |content=Here are the questions I want asked: Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241833897689665536 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241833897689665536 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Triage Talk: When your government and other leaders have not secured sufficient resources, you will be triaged to cover this error. | |content=Triage Talk: When your government and other leaders have not secured sufficient resources, you will be triaged to cover this error. | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241833898666909698 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241833898666909698 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=There are many different triage systems out there. They all count on us not understanding the language or the structure of the [[Decision Tree|decision tree]]. Ā | |content=There are many different triage systems out there. They all count on us not understanding the language or the structure of the [[Decision Tree|decision tree]]. Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241833899698708480 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241833899698708480 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=What we need to do is to: Ā | |content=What we need to do is to: Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241833900457865217 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1241833900457865217 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=I am sorry to say this but it is unforgivable that our leadership is selling stocks with their information rather than organizing a national response if this is bad enough to put the world economy at a risk. | |content=I am sorry to say this but it is unforgivable that our leadership is selling stocks with their information rather than organizing a national response if this is bad enough to put the world economy at a risk. | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331748978975621120 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331748978975621120 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@JaimeVelo I would put it differently. Merde. If you will. | |content=@JaimeVelo I would put it differently. Merde. If you will. | ||
|thread= | |thread= | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718850732199936 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718850732199936 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=āHere at X we are fully committed to free speech. The diversity of ideas is in fact the very reason this company was founded. At the same time, we at X strive for diversity inclusion so that all users on our platform may have an optimal user experience sharing perspectives.ā | |content=āHere at X we are fully committed to free speech. The diversity of ideas is in fact the very reason this company was founded. At the same time, we at X strive for diversity inclusion so that all users on our platform may have an optimal user experience sharing perspectives.ā | ||
|timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | |timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718854960050178 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718854960050178 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=āOf course it is never possible to please all users and our space is actually more ferociously competitive than our critics realize. However rather than fear competition, at X we welcome it and encourage those who think that this can be done better to launch their own companies.ā | |content=āOf course it is never possible to please all users and our space is actually more ferociously competitive than our critics realize. However rather than fear competition, at X we welcome it and encourage those who think that this can be done better to launch their own companies.ā | ||
|timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | |timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718853894623237 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718853894623237 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=āWe believe that through a process we call āDynamic Best Practicesā our adaptive policies meet the needs of all our users. That is why we launched our awareness campaign āFree Speech without Hate Speechā with leading academics to share their research in advising our every move.ā | |content=āWe believe that through a process we call āDynamic Best Practicesā our adaptive policies meet the needs of all our users. That is why we launched our awareness campaign āFree Speech without Hate Speechā with leading academics to share their research in advising our every move.ā | ||
|timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | |timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718852523089922 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718852523089922 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=āWe at X are proud of our commitment to both Trust and Safety. That is why we have worked with thought leaders from across a diverse group of authoritative & respected institutions to formulate dynamic Terms of Service to constantly adapt to our mission of diversity & inclusion.ā | |content=āWe at X are proud of our commitment to both Trust and Safety. That is why we have worked with thought leaders from across a diverse group of authoritative & respected institutions to formulate dynamic Terms of Service to constantly adapt to our mission of diversity & inclusion.ā | ||
|timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | |timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718859670241280 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718859670241280 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=These concepts are being used to control our thoughts, bias our conversations, chill our speech even when it is not endangering anyone and simply discussing and weighing branches of *legitimate* [[Decision Tree|decision trees]] of possibilities that Tech now insists we assign zero weight. | |content=These concepts are being used to control our thoughts, bias our conversations, chill our speech even when it is not endangering anyone and simply discussing and weighing branches of *legitimate* [[Decision Tree|decision trees]] of possibilities that Tech now insists we assign zero weight. | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718858567106561 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718858567106561 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Of course there is no problem with protecting individuals from harm and abuse. The issue is that once Tech defines Fake News, Diversity, Inclusion, Equity, Hate Speech, etc to include methods making reality illegal, *any* inconvenient user can be removed, down ranked & deboosted. | |content=Of course there is no problem with protecting individuals from harm and abuse. The issue is that once Tech defines Fake News, Diversity, Inclusion, Equity, Hate Speech, etc to include methods making reality illegal, *any* inconvenient user can be removed, down ranked & deboosted. | ||
|timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | |timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718857673777154 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718857673777154 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=This is undoubtedly coming from multiple sources. Some of it is common pressures producing common intellectually incoherent responses. But other parts of this are likely coming from quiet āWorking Groupsā with report titles like āCoordinating Response to Hate Speech & Fake News.ā | |content=This is undoubtedly coming from multiple sources. Some of it is common pressures producing common intellectually incoherent responses. But other parts of this are likely coming from quiet āWorking Groupsā with report titles like āCoordinating Response to Hate Speech & Fake News.ā | ||
|timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | |timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718856742641665 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718856742641665 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Now all that doesnāt come from a company X. But it comes from the same place from which all the mindless corporate tech drivel they all produce originates. And all I had to do was get myself in the right frame of mind to write it. So I sat on a porcelain throne, and there it was. | |content=Now all that doesnāt come from a company X. But it comes from the same place from which all the mindless corporate tech drivel they all produce originates. And all I had to do was get myself in the right frame of mind to write it. So I sat on a porcelain throne, and there it was. | ||
|timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | |timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718855840866304 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331718855840866304 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=āIn fact many donāt realize that we actually work *with* our competitors across platforms, and even with our regulators to make sure that we can learn from their experiences and share our knowledge. Because in the end, at X we know that business is about serving you, the people.ā | |content=āIn fact many donāt realize that we actually work *with* our competitors across platforms, and even with our regulators to make sure that we can learn from their experiences and share our knowledge. Because in the end, at X we know that business is about serving you, the people.ā | ||
|timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | |timestamp=9:58 PM Ā· Nov 25, 2020 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331721817149456384 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1331721817149456384 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@FirearmsPB Thank you thank you. Ā | |content=@FirearmsPB Thank you thank you. Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408859518902030337 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408859518902030337 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@LeeBillings See āpolitical economyā above. | |content=@LeeBillings See āpolitical economyā above. | ||
|thread= | |thread= | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408856866206097409 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408856866206097409 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=And US scientists who refuse to take this seriously as per the above tweet are neglecting and/or turning their back on our national and international security responsibilities given this report. | |content=And US scientists who refuse to take this seriously as per the above tweet are neglecting and/or turning their back on our national and international security responsibilities given this report. | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408856864524103681 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408856864524103681 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Itās totally irresponsible for any scientist to refuse to investigate UAP after this report with a full and unpruned [[Decision Tree|decision tree]] at her side. | |content=Itās totally irresponsible for any scientist to refuse to investigate UAP after this report with a full and unpruned [[Decision Tree|decision tree]] at her side. | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1480852208803475459 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1480852208803475459 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@stillgray More likely that they would have been played. Iād be surprised if anyone was dumb enough to take such a short ride. Ā | |content=@stillgray More likely that they would have been played. Iād be surprised if anyone was dumb enough to take such a short ride. Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769649891569664 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769649891569664 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Something huge is up. It could be a psychological operation. It could be next generation spoofing by an adversary. It could be mass psychosis. But I donāt want to speculate beyond a [[Decision Tree|decision tree]]. Something huge *is* up. And I dug hard, but failed to get beyond indirect evidence. | |content=Something huge is up. It could be a psychological operation. It could be next generation spoofing by an adversary. It could be mass psychosis. But I donāt want to speculate beyond a [[Decision Tree|decision tree]]. Something huge *is* up. And I dug hard, but failed to get beyond indirect evidence. | ||
|thread= | |thread= | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769645147803653 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769645147803653 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=For those of you speculating on channels reaching out to Sam Harris, myself and others on UFO/UAP. There was a minimum of one planned dissemination that got called off for reasons unknown. I am not at liberty to discuss. But I can say why people like Sam are likely to be quiet. | |content=For those of you speculating on channels reaching out to Sam Harris, myself and others on UFO/UAP. There was a minimum of one planned dissemination that got called off for reasons unknown. I am not at liberty to discuss. But I can say why people like Sam are likely to be quiet. | ||
|timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· May 12, 2022 | |timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· May 12, 2022 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769648985591808 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769648985591808 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=I wonāt speak for @SamHarrisOrg. But I failed to generate *any* good explanation for the repeated and fairly consistent assertions of DOD/IC types with no evident training in acting or theater. To say nothing of ordinary non-USG people. Soā¦none of us knows what to think. Truly. | |content=I wonāt speak for @SamHarrisOrg. But I failed to generate *any* good explanation for the repeated and fairly consistent assertions of DOD/IC types with no evident training in acting or theater. To say nothing of ordinary non-USG people. Soā¦none of us knows what to think. Truly. | ||
|timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· May 12, 2022 | |timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· May 12, 2022 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769647941218305 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769647941218305 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Because there is an ocean of weird behavior and claims coming from otherwise sober seeming USG and former USG people. And a lot of it is weirdly consistent. So Iām totally underwhelmed by the direct evidence so far. But Iām baffled by the indirect evidence. What generated this? | |content=Because there is an ocean of weird behavior and claims coming from otherwise sober seeming USG and former USG people. And a lot of it is weirdly consistent. So Iām totally underwhelmed by the direct evidence so far. But Iām baffled by the indirect evidence. What generated this? | ||
|timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· May 12, 2022 | |timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· May 12, 2022 | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769647093985285 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769647093985285 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=What has so far been released to the public by government has been minimal. No one I know wants to incinerate credibility becoming a true believer over a tiny number of relatively low quality USG videos which, at least to me, prove absolutely nothing. | |content=What has so far been released to the public by government has been minimal. No one I know wants to incinerate credibility becoming a true believer over a tiny number of relatively low quality USG videos which, at least to me, prove absolutely nothing. | ||
| Line 402: | Line 402: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769651791568897 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769651791568897 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=One request: stop speculating. Some folks are reaching out. They pulled back a bit. And I for one may stop talking about this if asked due to the security issues. But that which has been shared with the public is not enough to go on. Itās the indirect evidence we are watching. š | |content=One request: stop speculating. Some folks are reaching out. They pulled back a bit. And I for one may stop talking about this if asked due to the security issues. But that which has been shared with the public is not enough to go on. Itās the indirect evidence we are watching. š | ||
|timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· May 12, 2022 | |timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· May 12, 2022 | ||
| Line 411: | Line 411: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769650810126338 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1524769650810126338 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=What is worse, the most parsimonious explanations are the obvious two: | |content=What is worse, the most parsimonious explanations are the obvious two: | ||
| Line 433: | Line 433: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618549614759804931 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618549614759804931 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=*Batesian Ā | |content=*Batesian Ā | ||
| Line 443: | Line 443: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618472494691913730 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618472494691913730 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Did you lose anyone irreplaceable to COVID? To myocarditis? Have Brain Fog? Lose a year or two of your life? Fail to attend a funeral? Wonder how the vaccines appeared so quickly? | |content=Did you lose anyone irreplaceable to COVID? To myocarditis? Have Brain Fog? Lose a year or two of your life? Fail to attend a funeral? Wonder how the vaccines appeared so quickly? | ||
| Line 456: | Line 456: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618475018962501634 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618475018962501634 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=I donāt know honestly know what we are watching. I can only pray that it is not remotely what it appears to be. Ā | |content=I donāt know honestly know what we are watching. I can only pray that it is not remotely what it appears to be. Ā | ||
| Line 469: | Line 469: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618490087955910658 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618490087955910658 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=I have been asked to reiterate what I just said in a Twitter Space about this. | |content=I have been asked to reiterate what I just said in a Twitter Space about this. | ||
| Line 480: | Line 480: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618490091768512512 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618490091768512512 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=In all cases, the cure is hearings. We may need to bury PV. We may need to bury Pfizer. Or we may have a first date type meeting that went wildly out of control as many people exaggerate to create intrigue and drama. | |content=In all cases, the cure is hearings. We may need to bury PV. We may need to bury Pfizer. Or we may have a first date type meeting that went wildly out of control as many people exaggerate to create intrigue and drama. | ||
| Line 491: | Line 491: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618490090048860161 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618490090048860161 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=The Tree: | |content=The Tree: | ||
| Line 506: | Line 506: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618490874442452992 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618490874442452992 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@Liv_Boeree Same. Just exactly the same Liv. But we just need to dig. This doesnāt get resolved tonight. | |content=@Liv_Boeree Same. Just exactly the same Liv. But we just need to dig. This doesnāt get resolved tonight. | ||
|timestamp=6:07 AM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | |timestamp=6:07 AM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | ||
| Line 515: | Line 515: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618496412710502401 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618496412710502401 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=So you could see āDirected Driftā. The relationship between vaccine and virus is similar to the mirroring one sees in Bayesian Mimicry. The model species can move laterally and the mimic then has to move to mirror the phenotype of the model. Do I donāt think this *has* to be GoF. | |content=So you could see āDirected Driftā. The relationship between vaccine and virus is similar to the mirroring one sees in Bayesian Mimicry. The model species can move laterally and the mimic then has to move to mirror the phenotype of the model. Do I donāt think this *has* to be GoF. | ||
|timestamp=6:29 AM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | |timestamp=6:29 AM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | ||
| Line 524: | Line 524: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618496410583986176 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618496410583986176 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Also, what I said in the space about Gain Of Function: Ā | |content=Also, what I said in the space about Gain Of Function: Ā | ||
| Line 535: | Line 535: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618496417261289473 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618496417261289473 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=The virus could be moved laterally and then a new vaccine would be created to move with it like model and mimic respectively. Ā | |content=The virus could be moved laterally and then a new vaccine would be created to move with it like model and mimic respectively. Ā | ||
| Line 553: | Line 553: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618549400426643457 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618549400426643457 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@pcervigon Autocorrect. Damn. Thanks! | |content=@pcervigon Autocorrect. Damn. Thanks! | ||
|timestamp=10:00 AM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | |timestamp=10:00 AM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | ||
| Line 566: | Line 566: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618654954130145282 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618654954130145282 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=This was my PV [[Decision Tree|decision tree]] from last night. Are we on Branch A, B or C? My guess is that you donāt yet know either. Ā | |content=This was my PV [[Decision Tree|decision tree]] from last night. Are we on Branch A, B or C? My guess is that you donāt yet know either. Ā | ||
| Line 578: | Line 578: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618653960189116416 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618653960189116416 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Have you seen materials that fan keep those of us who are confusedĀ from speculating? | |content=Have you seen materials that fan keep those of us who are confusedĀ from speculating? | ||
| Line 599: | Line 599: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618653956720459777 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618653956720459777 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=No one is arguing that the video is not explosive. What is dividing us is whether it is what James OāKeefe says it is. He is neither always wrong as his critics say nor always correct as supporters claim. And his methods are disturbing & prone to picking up drunken date bragging. | |content=No one is arguing that the video is not explosive. What is dividing us is whether it is what James OāKeefe says it is. He is neither always wrong as his critics say nor always correct as supporters claim. And his methods are disturbing & prone to picking up drunken date bragging. | ||
|timestamp=4:55 PM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | |timestamp=4:55 PM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | ||
| Line 608: | Line 608: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618653961850081280 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1618653961850081280 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=But James breaks real news as in the Amy Robach hot mic tape just as he also exaggerates and distorts what he has at other times. Are you in a position to say where we are on the PV spectrum? No one can say how real this is without supporting evidence. Are you in that position? | |content=But James breaks real news as in the Amy Robach hot mic tape just as he also exaggerates and distorts what he has at other times. Are you in a position to say where we are on the PV spectrum? No one can say how real this is without supporting evidence. Are you in that position? | ||
|timestamp=4:55 PM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | |timestamp=4:55 PM Ā· Jan 26, 2023 | ||
| Line 621: | Line 621: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1623485657653080064 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1623485657653080064 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@dwpasulka Can you say more? Thanks. | |content=@dwpasulka Can you say more? Thanks. | ||
|thread= | |thread= | ||
| Line 629: | Line 629: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1623337352486875137 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1623337352486875137 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=My position on UFO/UAP is that this is something *huge* that Iām simply not smart enough to figure out. Iām not going to lie and say itās all weather balloons. And Iām not going to lie and say we have solid high quality publicly available data when we donāt: we are being starved. | |content=My position on UFO/UAP is that this is something *huge* that Iām simply not smart enough to figure out. Iām not going to lie and say itās all weather balloons. And Iām not going to lie and say we have solid high quality publicly available data when we donāt: we are being starved. | ||
|timestamp=3:05 PM Ā· Feb 08, 2023 | |timestamp=3:05 PM Ā· Feb 08, 2023 | ||
| Line 638: | Line 638: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1623338566289068034 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1623338566289068034 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=UFOs are āfunā for many people. There is another group of us who donāt find it āfunā. I donāt want to believe. I donāt want to not believe. I want to know either way. | |content=UFOs are āfunā for many people. There is another group of us who donāt find it āfunā. I donāt want to believe. I donāt want to not believe. I want to know either way. | ||
| Line 649: | Line 649: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1623339240074657793 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1623339240074657793 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Point blank: we are being starved for information. My response to being starved for information is not to guess which branch of the [[Decision Tree|decision tree]] is correct but to share with you the contradictory evidence both direct and circumstantial. I donāt know why others pretend to know.š | |content=Point blank: we are being starved for information. My response to being starved for information is not to guess which branch of the [[Decision Tree|decision tree]] is correct but to share with you the contradictory evidence both direct and circumstantial. I donāt know why others pretend to know.š | ||
|timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· Feb 08, 2023 | |timestamp=3:13 PM Ā· Feb 08, 2023 | ||
| Line 663: | Line 663: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902055807501607008 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902055807501607008 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@t1gerp4w Etc. There was a lot of Etc. | |content=@t1gerp4w Etc. There was a lot of Etc. | ||
|thread= | |thread= | ||
| Line 671: | Line 671: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902046925899362459 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902046925899362459 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=[Note: I'm mostly leaving this here for myself to remember what I was thinking just before the JFK release. Skip it if it is too long and in the weeds.] | |content=[Note: I'm mostly leaving this here for myself to remember what I was thinking just before the JFK release. Skip it if it is too long and in the weeds.] | ||
| Line 717: | Line 717: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902050983448080717 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902050983448080717 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Location of the release: | |content=Location of the release: | ||
|timestamp=5:34 PM Ā· Mar 18, 2025 | |timestamp=5:34 PM Ā· Mar 18, 2025 | ||
| Line 726: | Line 726: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902052178539545008 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902052178539545008 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=WH claims about the release: | |content=WH claims about the release: | ||
|timestamp=5:39 PM Ā· Mar 18, 2025 | |timestamp=5:39 PM Ā· Mar 18, 2025 | ||
| Line 735: | Line 735: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902055419797000320 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902055419797000320 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@wrath_boss It has been fascinating. | |content=@wrath_boss It has been fascinating. | ||
|timestamp=5:52 PM Ā· Mar 18, 2025 | |timestamp=5:52 PM Ā· Mar 18, 2025 | ||
| Line 744: | Line 744: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902055505390170237 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1902055505390170237 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@DTCU1000 Then I owe you a beer. | |content=@DTCU1000 Then I owe you a beer. | ||
|timestamp=5:52 PM Ā· Mar 18, 2025 | |timestamp=5:52 PM Ā· Mar 18, 2025 | ||
| Line 758: | Line 758: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2019114947180130758 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2019114947180130758 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Moral: none of this depends on the source. Itās a [[Decision Tree|decision tree]]. | |content=Moral: none of this depends on the source. Itās a [[Decision Tree|decision tree]]. | ||
| Line 768: | Line 768: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2019111762973581755 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2019111762973581755 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=āEpstein belonged to both U.S. and allied intelligence services.ā | |content=āEpstein belonged to both U.S. and allied intelligence services.ā | ||
| Line 794: | Line 794: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2019114503942951242 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2019114503942951242 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=And by the way, if you want to *pretend* that the alternative is viableā¦it gets far far worse. | |content=And by the way, if you want to *pretend* that the alternative is viableā¦it gets far far worse. | ||
| Line 819: | Line 819: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021382361188008232 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021382361188008232 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@WKCosmo @martinmbauer https://t.co/YACIqRqVFs | |content=@WKCosmo @martinmbauer https://t.co/YACIqRqVFs | ||
|thread= | |thread= | ||
| Line 827: | Line 827: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021348429419761856 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021348429419761856 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Very well. Letās begin. Follow his thread back if you missed it. Ā | |content=Very well. Letās begin. Follow his thread back if you missed it. Ā | ||
| Line 844: | Line 844: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021350582464979041 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021350582464979041 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Here is a sample argument. But I anticipated this one. Remember in the analogy the issue is human limb development. The right upper limb is what he means by our sector of baryonic matter. And I didnāt say that all the dark matter was the left upper limb. The right lower leg is also decoupled from Martinās consideration and focus in the analogy! Ā | |content=Here is a sample argument. But I anticipated this one. Remember in the analogy the issue is human limb development. The right upper limb is what he means by our sector of baryonic matter. And I didnāt say that all the dark matter was the left upper limb. The right lower leg is also decoupled from Martinās consideration and focus in the analogy! Ā | ||
| Line 855: | Line 855: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021352444287123863 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021352444287123863 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Here is another style of argument you meet in physics. Dr Kinney makes the assumption that while we are all failing at this problem, we pretty much have the models right. That is, he assumes that the answer is a smallish tweak. That is the typical failure mode. He may be either right or wrong. But there is no reason the answer has to be a small tweak. Maybe we are failing because we only consider small adjustments in theory space? Does he imagine life has to be close to his model? Ā | |content=Here is another style of argument you meet in physics. Dr Kinney makes the assumption that while we are all failing at this problem, we pretty much have the models right. That is, he assumes that the answer is a smallish tweak. That is the typical failure mode. He may be either right or wrong. But there is no reason the answer has to be a small tweak. Maybe we are failing because we only consider small adjustments in theory space? Does he imagine life has to be close to his model? Ā | ||
| Line 870: | Line 870: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021353503957058041 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021353503957058041 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=This is one of my favorites of Dr Kinney: Ā | |content=This is one of my favorites of Dr Kinney: Ā | ||
| Line 883: | Line 883: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021355635770786184 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021355635770786184 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Here again. Iām writing for X. | |content=Here again. Iām writing for X. | ||
| Line 906: | Line 906: | ||
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021356607003820296 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021356607003820296 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Conclusion. Itās obviously not a ācompletely incoherent argument.ā Ā | |content=Conclusion. Itās obviously not a ācompletely incoherent argument.ā Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021357485710508363 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021357485710508363 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=Sanity Check: @grok. Ā | |content=Sanity Check: @grok. Ā | ||
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|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021357963081023926 | |nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/2021357963081023926 | ||
|name=Eric Weinstein | |name=Eric Weinstein | ||
|usernameurl=https://x.com/ | |usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein | ||
|username= | |username=ericweinstein | ||
|content=@grok Thanks. Donāt want to drag you into drama. Appreciate keeping it | |content=@grok Thanks. Donāt want to drag you into drama. Appreciate keeping it | ||
Narrow. Thanks my silicon friend. | Narrow. Thanks my silicon friend. | ||
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[[Category:Concepts]] | [[Category:Concepts]] | ||
[[Category:Portal Topics]] | |||
Latest revision as of 21:55, 5 May 2026
Decision Tree on The Basics Guide.
On X[edit]
2019[edit]
Letās assume you donāt love UBI for all the usual reasonable reasons. Letās also assume that the economy stops being able to really perform adequately for the unremarkable median worker in childbearing and rearing years.
What is your replacement?
Note: āeducation/trainingā above means that you are betting on education and training with no gaurantee of success, already knowing that the median individual is not able to make the economy work.
@William_Blake Yes. Only itās called a decision tree. Iām trying to cut off access to the other branch so that we explore this one. I donāt believe we are definitely on this branch.
But yes. Exactly. Iām assuming one conclusion and being transparent about it.
@William_Blake There will always be things to do. Agreed. At what level of compensation remains the question.
2020[edit]
Trying to imagine the decision trees multiplying as we go forward from here.
Utterly failing to do so.
@PsychPLockwood Iām essentially certain that it canāt. At least initially. Too many players. Too many moves.
What is being suppressed in Iowa? Iām not understanding the narratives and their conflicts.
This just isnāt that technically hard.
Note: I have zero inside information.
@CaitlinPacific So...That isnāt nothing. Not by a long shot. Are we testing in production??
Understanding how we could get this level of incompetence showing up in production is a big story for people who want to be in charge of a country.
@thenotfakepaul Thatās a basic issue. All branches of the decision tree are poisoned in such cases.
@IdoShamirIdo Thatās why I asked: whether it is incompetence or malice or lack of ability to communicate what happened is almost immaterial. I donāt need to know. I do know that there should be a clear story by now under all assumptions.
Triage Talk: When your government and other leaders have not secured sufficient resources, you will be triaged to cover this error.
Without being in any way sensationalist, that means some of us will die who could have been saved.
It's time to learn that this is done via codes:
There are many different triage systems out there. They all count on us not understanding the language or the structure of the decision tree.
You might, for example, think that 'expectant' meant expecting care rather than expecting death.
#FlattenTheCurve = #MinimizeTheTriage https://t.co/hvZEIGPtGD
What we need to do is to:
A) Offer help to our emergency response teams to secure scarce resources on emergency footing.
B) Push our leaders to secure MUCH better answers by not being the passive participants in Triage. Find out how it works. Ask: "What is the decision tree?"
I am sorry to say this but it is unforgivable that our leadership is selling stocks with their information rather than organizing a national response if this is bad enough to put the world economy at a risk.
There is no one at the helm of this ship who makes any sense to me now.
Here are the questions I want asked:
A) What is our Govt triage plan?
B) What are our limiting variables?
C) What factories have been commandeered to produce them?
D) Is everyone needed called up? If not, why not?
E) How did we choose our triage plan?
F) What are we optimizing?
āHere at X we are fully committed to free speech. The diversity of ideas is in fact the very reason this company was founded. At the same time, we at X strive for diversity inclusion so that all users on our platform may have an optimal user experience sharing perspectives.ā
āOf course it is never possible to please all users and our space is actually more ferociously competitive than our critics realize. However rather than fear competition, at X we welcome it and encourage those who think that this can be done better to launch their own companies.ā
āWe believe that through a process we call āDynamic Best Practicesā our adaptive policies meet the needs of all our users. That is why we launched our awareness campaign āFree Speech without Hate Speechā with leading academics to share their research in advising our every move.ā
āWe at X are proud of our commitment to both Trust and Safety. That is why we have worked with thought leaders from across a diverse group of authoritative & respected institutions to formulate dynamic Terms of Service to constantly adapt to our mission of diversity & inclusion.ā
These concepts are being used to control our thoughts, bias our conversations, chill our speech even when it is not endangering anyone and simply discussing and weighing branches of *legitimate* decision trees of possibilities that Tech now insists we assign zero weight.
Sorry..
Of course there is no problem with protecting individuals from harm and abuse. The issue is that once Tech defines Fake News, Diversity, Inclusion, Equity, Hate Speech, etc to include methods making reality illegal, *any* inconvenient user can be removed, down ranked & deboosted.
This is undoubtedly coming from multiple sources. Some of it is common pressures producing common intellectually incoherent responses. But other parts of this are likely coming from quiet āWorking Groupsā with report titles like āCoordinating Response to Hate Speech & Fake News.ā
Now all that doesnāt come from a company X. But it comes from the same place from which all the mindless corporate tech drivel they all produce originates. And all I had to do was get myself in the right frame of mind to write it. So I sat on a porcelain throne, and there it was.
āIn fact many donāt realize that we actually work *with* our competitors across platforms, and even with our regulators to make sure that we can learn from their experiences and share our knowledge. Because in the end, at X we know that business is about serving you, the people.ā
@FirearmsPB Thank you thank you.
I would like to thank my teachers.
@JaimeVelo I would put it differently. Merde. If you will.
2021[edit]
And US scientists who refuse to take this seriously as per the above tweet are neglecting and/or turning their back on our national and international security responsibilities given this report.
That is my belief. Full stop.
Itās totally irresponsible for any scientist to refuse to investigate UAP after this report with a full and unpruned decision tree at her side.
That includes considering the total incompetence of the defense department, *aliens*, spoofing by enemies and UFO political economy.
@LeeBillings See āpolitical economyā above.
2022[edit]
@stillgray More likely that they would have been played. Iād be surprised if anyone was dumb enough to take such a short ride.
Just wait. Itās such a weird decision Tree.
For those of you speculating on channels reaching out to Sam Harris, myself and others on UFO/UAP. There was a minimum of one planned dissemination that got called off for reasons unknown. I am not at liberty to discuss. But I can say why people like Sam are likely to be quiet.
I wonāt speak for @SamHarrisOrg. But I failed to generate *any* good explanation for the repeated and fairly consistent assertions of DOD/IC types with no evident training in acting or theater. To say nothing of ordinary non-USG people. Soā¦none of us knows what to think. Truly.
Because there is an ocean of weird behavior and claims coming from otherwise sober seeming USG and former USG people. And a lot of it is weirdly consistent. So Iām totally underwhelmed by the direct evidence so far. But Iām baffled by the indirect evidence. What generated this?
What has so far been released to the public by government has been minimal. No one I know wants to incinerate credibility becoming a true believer over a tiny number of relatively low quality USG videos which, at least to me, prove absolutely nothing.
So then: why be interested?
One request: stop speculating. Some folks are reaching out. They pulled back a bit. And I for one may stop talking about this if asked due to the security issues. But that which has been shared with the public is not enough to go on. Itās the indirect evidence we are watching. š
What is worse, the most parsimonious explanations are the obvious two:
A) Our government is engaged in deception and utterly brilliant at it.
B) š½.
If the former, it is more competent than we ever suspected.
Everything else is less parsimonious. But I canāt make sense of it.
Something huge is up. It could be a psychological operation. It could be next generation spoofing by an adversary. It could be mass psychosis. But I donāt want to speculate beyond a decision tree. Something huge *is* up. And I dug hard, but failed to get beyond indirect evidence.
2023[edit]
Did you lose anyone irreplaceable to COVID? To myocarditis? Have Brain Fog? Lose a year or two of your life? Fail to attend a funeral? Wonder how the vaccines appeared so quickly?
Have your reputation destroyed over conspiracy theorizing? Get called a Sinophobic racist?
Watch:
I donāt know honestly know what we are watching. I can only pray that it is not remotely what it appears to be.
Hearings. That is all I have. There have to be deep and painful hearings. I have no other words. We need hearings.
- Hearings
I have been asked to reiterate what I just said in a Twitter Space about this.
What we have here is a decision tree with three branches. All three are totally distinct in implication.
In all cases, the cure is hearings. We may need to bury PV. We may need to bury Pfizer. Or we may have a first date type meeting that went wildly out of control as many people exaggerate to create intrigue and drama.
We donāt need to guess. We just hold hearings. Itās simple. š
The Tree:
Branch A: Project Veritas is completely misrepresenting this video. They get *totally* destroyed for doing so.
Branch B: The video is real but the individual is totally exaggerating to make himself seem like a powerful insider.
Branch C: Itās basically accurate.
@Liv_Boeree Same. Just exactly the same Liv. But we just need to dig. This doesnāt get resolved tonight.
So you could see āDirected Driftā. The relationship between vaccine and virus is similar to the mirroring one sees in Bayesian Mimicry. The model species can move laterally and the mimic then has to move to mirror the phenotype of the model. Do I donāt think this *has* to be GoF.
Also, what I said in the space about Gain Of Function:
Even though the subject says āDirected Evolutionā I do not believe a priori that he is technically describing GoF. A better term would be āDirected Selectionā because the virus could move laterally on a fitness landscape.
The virus could be moved laterally and then a new vaccine would be created to move with it like model and mimic respectively.
Bottom line:
1. Pay attention.
2. Call for hearings.
3. Avoid conclusions by being patient. This doesnāt get settled tonight.
4. Accept findings.
Thx.
@pcervigon Autocorrect. Damn. Thanks!
- Batesian
Autocorrect doesnāt know it apparently.
Have you seen materials that fan keep those of us who are confused from speculating?
Specifically:
Is this person EXACTLY who PV claims he is?
Is this a drunken date?
Is this man creating intrigue to seduce?
Etc.
Methods that are nauseating & prone to error are used here.
No one is arguing that the video is not explosive. What is dividing us is whether it is what James OāKeefe says it is. He is neither always wrong as his critics say nor always correct as supporters claim. And his methods are disturbing & prone to picking up drunken date bragging.
But James breaks real news as in the Amy Robach hot mic tape just as he also exaggerates and distorts what he has at other times. Are you in a position to say where we are on the PV spectrum? No one can say how real this is without supporting evidence. Are you in that position?
This was my PV decision tree from last night. Are we on Branch A, B or C? My guess is that you donāt yet know either.
Can this be cleared up without hearings? If not, why not join me in calling for hearings?
But if you are in a position to know, please tell us how. Thanks.
My position on UFO/UAP is that this is something *huge* that Iām simply not smart enough to figure out. Iām not going to lie and say itās all weather balloons. And Iām not going to lie and say we have solid high quality publicly available data when we donāt: we are being starved.
UFOs are āfunā for many people. There is another group of us who donāt find it āfunā. I donāt want to believe. I donāt want to not believe. I want to know either way.
I dislike this topic not b/c of the UFO, but b/c Iām being manipulated, lied to and played by those in the know.
Point blank: we are being starved for information. My response to being starved for information is not to guess which branch of the decision tree is correct but to share with you the contradictory evidence both direct and circumstantial. I donāt know why others pretend to know.š
@dwpasulka Can you say more? Thanks.
2025[edit]
[Note: I'm mostly leaving this here for myself to remember what I was thinking just before the JFK release. Skip it if it is too long and in the weeds.]
A view of the JFK files release:
The first branch of the decision tree: does Donald Trump keep his word? Will this be a good faith effort to end the mysteries around Nov 22, 1963? My bet is that Trump does and that this does not look anything like the insane and botched release of meaningless white binders on Epstein to MAGA influencers. If I am wrong, this will result in widespread mistrust of Trump by MAGA, and MAGA will likely start to declare independence from Trump. I don't think this will happen so I am not going to say more on this. I'll just have guessed wrong.
Next Branch: Assuming this is the full reveal, do we learn that this was simply Lee Harvey Oswald acting alone? I don't believe it is. But if it is, the next branch will be "Did the US try to control the narrative with extraordinary measures beyond those that should have been allowed?" I believe that the answer will be yes to this independent of. This results in widespread distrust of all previous governments.
Popping back up, if it was not LHO as lone gunman, all hell breaks loose with public trust FAR beyond where we even are Post-Covid. The concept of 'Conspiracy Theorist' dies. The concept of 'No one can keep a secret.' dies. People learn at scale that there is an *ENORMOUS* difference between correctly guessing that the government lied, and having the USG confirm that every government official kept the lie at official levels.
As to possible culprits:
Lyndon Johnson
LCN
CIA
Mossad
Cubans
Cord Meyer
UFO/MJ12
Defense Contractors
Combinations of the Above
Etc...Etc...
It is going to be a big deal. People have speculated about everything under the sun. Those who got it most right will be held up properly. Everyone who didn't believe the Warren Report was the end of it will feel vindicated. Personally, I am eager to hear how close Danny Shehan was.
As an American, I worry it doesn't get tied back to the USG because that will lead to an American unraveling of trust in everything. But I take the same attitude I have taken to Epstein which also needs to be released.
The number of people involved in such plots are tiny. And tiny numbers of CIA/Mafiosi/Mossad/Party Leaders do not represent the group. If it turns out it was CIA sponsored, it will not be a large group of people who kept this going. It will be a tiny number of people.
[For those of you who follow my push to tie Epstein to the IC, this should sound very familiar: if it turns out that Epstein was CIA and/or Mossad (which I view to be most likely), I will want to know that we have a problem with psychopaths in those organizations. I will call for deep hearings like Church/Pike in the 1970s. I have called this problem of small groups acting on behalf of a nation "Jessupization" after Col Nathan Jessup in "A Few Good Men". Eventually, Jessup misplays his hand and Lt. Calley isolates the cancer.]
When it comes to the US, at some point you have to cut out the cancer of rogues who claim to act on behalf of us all. And the best day is always 'today'.
Looking nervously forward to this afternoon, no matter how bitter the pill or pills. Let's get on with it! Finally.
š
P.S. Also to those of you who follow me on these subjects, a massive admission of a long term lie around JFK will lead to a change in our willingness as a society to question what happened to progress in the sciences that are within reach of "Weapons of Mass Destruction". That is molecular Biology, Infectious Disease, Number Theory, Computer Science, and Physics. Particularly in the case of the inexplicable stagnation in Physics around "Quantum Gravity". While this shouldn't be tied to that, this positive externality of a negative event (i.e. learning that that we have been lied to by government officials for generations) will be most welcome.
Location of the release:
WH claims about the release:
@wrath_boss It has been fascinating.
@DTCU1000 Then I owe you a beer.
@t1gerp4w Etc. There was a lot of Etc.
2026[edit]
āEpstein belonged to both U.S. and allied intelligence services.ā
As Iāve been saying, what we call āJeffrey Epsteinā is NOT Jeffrey Epstein.
Itās a multinational covert operation, which is a clearing house for sub operations. The pedophile stuff is just one suboperation. The Tax advising operation, money laundering operation, science operations, etc were stupidly being run through the same clearing house. Perhaps to save money? Who knows.
The U.S. portion of this is a USAP: an āUnacknowledged Special Access Programā
Why are so many minor names redacted? Two words: Sources & Methods.
This is an unprecedented event in modern history.
It is time for the IC in the U.S., Israel, U.K., Saudi, UAE, etc to accept the obvious:
āYou screwed up. Massively. You hired the wrong actor. Your mission was a failure. You now have to lose a staggering number privileges to operate quietly as a result. You lose methods. You will have to rebuild. Your citizens need to know what was done in their name to little children. Iām sorry. Tough shit. Eat it. Such is the price of failure at this scale.ā
Then you can bite the bullet and invoke State Secrets Privilege to save what legitimate statecraft and spycraft can be salvaged from this cesspool of biblical proportionsā¦that you created and allowed to spin so out of control.
And by the way, if you want to *pretend* that the alternative is viableā¦it gets far far worse.
Assume he wasnāt linked to the U.S. covert operations group at all.
Then you have an epic disaster that our elite intelligence operations couldnāt even detect and disable Epsteinās MASSIVE operations and network operating within the elite for decades on U.S. soil post sex conviction.
Imagine that!!!
Itās far worse. There is just no way out.
The problem *IS* our covert operations and Intelligence Community.
And in any and every possible world.
Moral: none of this depends on the source. Itās a decision tree.
Itās checkmate of the IC either way.
Very well. Letās begin. Follow his thread back if you missed it.
Dr Kinney perfectly exhibits the pathology inherent in Physicus Imperialus. In this story of Dr Kinney, Iām ignorant.
Happy with that. Itās name calling.
Yet I gave a complete argument as to why @martinmbauer was wrong. In other words the analogy was tight. And it was a lay analysisā¦that took this out of physics. Martin was sloppy. Will is anti-collegial. And anti-science. He is not asking for clarification. Heās doing that āYou are too stupid to question us.ā As if I am not in physics departments all the time. Amazing.
Letās try some of his arguments.
Here is a sample argument. But I anticipated this one. Remember in the analogy the issue is human limb development. The right upper limb is what he means by our sector of baryonic matter. And I didnāt say that all the dark matter was the left upper limb. The right lower leg is also decoupled from Martinās consideration and focus in the analogy!
So there is approximately 3/4 ādarkā limb when Martin focuses on his upper right extremity. Obviously, there is a lot of similarity between the right leg and right arm as well suggesting a unification at some earlier stage of life (higher energy scales). The left leg is doubly dark to the right arm. We would say twice decoupled. Even though all 4 limbs are related. By the way an insect has six. As is Dr Kinneyās point. Soā¦
Here is another style of argument you meet in physics. Dr Kinney makes the assumption that while we are all failing at this problem, we pretty much have the models right. That is, he assumes that the answer is a smallish tweak. That is the typical failure mode. He may be either right or wrong. But there is no reason the answer has to be a small tweak. Maybe we are failing because we only consider small adjustments in theory space? Does he imagine life has to be close to his model?
My example is very far away. Itās in developmental biology. So odd this.
I was merely showing that Martinās exclusive decision tree with two branches is not complete. š
Note also, he wouldnt behave like this to a colleague in his dept saying exactly what I did. This is defense of the castle behavior. Ad hominem. Selective aggression.
This is one of my favorites of Dr Kinney:
āYour ideas are all so stupid we all know exactly why you are wrong and this can never work, and we would thus never say something so ignorantā¦andā¦uhā¦.we also discuss the same things among ourselves! So itās not new! Ha ha.ā
I pass over this in silence. Res Ipsa Loquitor.
Here again. Iām writing for X.
Iām describing a general class Martin Excluded: Emergent Decoupling.
These models have 3 features:
A) Symmetic Laws
B) Symmetric Boundary Conditions
C) Emergent Chiral Decoupling
In this story there is a world that is screened from us. It was completely symmetric. But we donāt know it!!
Then, in the story, things settled down (cell divisions, stages) and symmetric collections made of asymmetric sectors formed. Like left versus right arms. If the right arm doesnāt know that itās symmetric dual isnāt connected to it (decoupled) it thinks āWoah! Why so much asymmetry!?ā
Which is what I believe is most likely from Geometric Unity.
Conclusion. Itās obviously not a ācompletely incoherent argument.ā
Kinney is being a dick. Which is his right. But this is why physics is in the toilet.
Heās debunking a totally reasonable argument that Martin was in error as if I am a āScience Populistā.
Iām not. Iām a pissed off Harvard Phd.
Doctor Kinney. Grow up.
Sanity Check: @grok.
Two narrow questions on narrow points of fact. Donāt be deferential.
A) Can you follow my arguments?
B) Am I making a ācompletely incoherent argumentā as if I am a fool who ādoesnāt know what the eff heās talking about?ā
@grok Thanks. Donāt want to drag you into drama. Appreciate keeping it Narrow. Thanks my silicon friend.
@WKCosmo @martinmbauer https://t.co/YACIqRqVFs
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