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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Splendid. But that "Take" isn't what the IDW is about. I mean do you take issue w/ my work on labor markets? Mortgage backed securities? CPI and GDP? Bret's take on drug testing on specially bred mice? Heather on risk in Education? Ben's conservative objection to Breitbart/Trump?
|content=Splendid. But that "Take" isn't what the IDW is about. I mean do you take issue w/ my work on [[Labor Shortages|labor markets]]? [[Mortgage Backed Securities|Mortgage backed securities]]? [[CPI]] and GDP? Bret's take on drug testing on specially bred mice? Heather on risk in Education? Ben's conservative objection to Breitbart/Trump?
|timestamp=6:45 PM · May 11, 2018
|timestamp=6:45 PM · May 11, 2018
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=May I ask you to look again or too explain why all the interesting things we talk about are of no interest? You might want to look at my essays on Russell Conjugation, Excellence, The crisis in Physics, Four Quadrant model, Kayfabe, Anthropic Capitalism, Coasian immigration, etc.
|content=@dandrezner @bariweiss May I ask you to look again or too explain why all the interesting things we talk about are of no interest? You might want to look at my essays on [[Russell Conjugation (Edge Essay)|Russell Conjugation]], [[Excellence (Edge Essay)|Excellence]], [[M-theory or String Theory is the Only Game in Town (Edge Essay)|The crisis in Physics]], [[Four Quadrant Model|Four Quadrant model]], [[Kayfabe]], [[Anthropic Capitalism]], [[Ronald Coase|Coasian immigration]], etc.
|timestamp=6:52 PM · May 11, 2018
|timestamp=6:52 PM · May 11, 2018
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=The moral of the story to me is this:
|content=The [[Morals|moral]] of the story to me is this:


We can’t have outside folks calculating and theorizing while the inside economists are fudging and cooking the books.
We can’t have outside folks calculating and theorizing while the inside economists are fudging and cooking the books.
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Moral: whoever constructs [[CPI]] and GDP numbers in a dynamic economy is in a position to fake higher growth and lower inflation if they are also in a position to stop the field from debating methodological advances that would restrict the freedom to make up index number recipes. 🙏
|content=[[Morals|Moral]]: whoever constructs [[CPI]] and GDP numbers in a dynamic economy is in a position to fake higher growth and lower inflation if they are also in a position to stop the field from debating methodological advances that would restrict the freedom to make up index number recipes. 🙏
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Claim: when it comes to inflation and growth, Economists don’t even understand the theory of their *own* price and quantity indices mathematically:
|content=[[Claims|Claim]]: when it comes to inflation and growth, Economists don’t even understand the theory of their *own* price and quantity indices mathematically:


{{#widget:YouTube|id=h5gnATQMtPg}}
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|timestamp=6:27 PM · May 12, 2021
|timestamp=6:27 PM · May 12, 2021
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Moral: Gauge Theory fixes this intellectual corruption problem of economic imperialism, and #btc, blockchains and Crytpo can help.
|content=[[Morals|Moral]]: [[Gauge Theory]] fixes this intellectual corruption problem of economic imperialism, and #btc, blockchains and Crytpo can help.
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Z) The true nature of @EcoHealthNYC w its relationship to @doddtra & Dr A. Fauci.
Z) The true nature of @EcoHealthNYC w its relationship to @doddtra & Dr A. Fauci.


Moral: much of this 'ambiguity' is serving the few.
[[Morals|Moral]]: much of this 'ambiguity' is serving the few.
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1456428604246560776
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1456733111954272257
|name=Eric Weinstein
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=<nowiki>*</nowiki>leads not leases in the above.
|content=I would take a look at [https://www.nobelprize.org/uploads/2018/06/samuelson-lecture.pdf '''Paul Samuelson'''’s Nobel lecture]. He goes into depth on [[Revealed Preference|revealed preference]] and preference field non-integrability. I think we have lost track of the fact that integrability of tastes was never actually settled except by fiat. Will talk on this.
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|timestamp=5:57 PM · Nov 4, 2021
|timestamp=5:57 PM · Nov 4, 2021
|media1=Gauge_Theory_UChicago_Talk_Cover.jpg
|media1=Gauge_Theory_UChicago_Talk_Cover.jpg
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1456319699805884417
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=I am a huge believer in the University of Chicago and its ability to stay the course while all others bend to the prevailing winds.
As such, I may (or may not) be announcing other events to discuss other work (e.g. Geometric Unity) depending on time, interest &amp; availability.🙏
|timestamp=5:57 PM · Nov 4, 2021
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1456319702305759237
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Please retweet the top tweet if you're followed by economists &amp; others interested in the debate over inflation and [[CPI]], and your followers would find a new geometric Marginal Revolution of interest. Thanks! cc: @tylercowen, @Breedlove22, @paulmromer, @PeterMcCormack, @EconTalker.
|timestamp=5:57 PM · Nov 4, 2021
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|timestamp=1:09 AM · Nov 5, 2021
|timestamp=1:09 AM · Nov 5, 2021
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{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1456428604246560776
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=<nowiki>*</nowiki>leads not leases in the above.
|timestamp=1:10 AM · Nov 5, 2021
|timestamp=1:10 AM · Nov 5, 2021
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|image=PeterRyan-profile-MGctNrxp.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/_PeterRyan/status/1456431438975275013
|name=Peter Ryan
|usernameurl=https://x.com/_PeterRyan
|username=_PeterRyan
|content=Yea I understand that and find your points interesting. So I would like to understand how we would go about invalidating the traditional theories by collecting and analyzing the correct data. I don't think those tweets answer that. I get your hypothesis.
|timestamp=1:21 AM · Nov 5, 2021
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1456432882994405384
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Well I think the BLS should begin by questioning their own premises. They say they work in a COL framework. They do not. They do not share how they construct the representative consumer. How they estimate substitution if they don’t have preference data. It’s fake and a mess.
|timestamp=1:27 AM · Nov 5, 2021
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{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1456433552677998594
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=If they are going to do COLas they should estimate preferences. If they aren’t they should do mechanical index theory.
But I would use a bunch of that money to develop a research program on preference collection/imputation for substitution bias if I was running a COL shop.
|timestamp=1:29 AM · Nov 5, 2021
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{{Tweet
|image=PeterRyan-profile-MGctNrxp.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/_PeterRyan/status/1456434501312073735
|name=Peter Ryan
|usernameurl=https://x.com/_PeterRyan
|username=_PeterRyan
|content=Ok how many researchers would you need? Is the average salary $300k? What are the non-labour costs needed? Could this be done in 1 year?
Could we get this done with let's say $10m? Is $609m necessary for a MVP?
|timestamp=1:33 AM · Nov 5, 2021
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|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1456440941221335042
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=I am not sure. But the first question I have is do we believe ordinal preference maps are constructable from [[Revealed Preference|revealed preference]].
|timestamp=1:59 AM · Nov 5, 2021
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{{Tweet
|image=PeterRyan-profile-MGctNrxp.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/_PeterRyan/status/1456441698276417540
|name=Peter Ryan
|usernameurl=https://x.com/_PeterRyan
|username=_PeterRyan
|content=Well if we were to get you started with all the resources necessary, wouldn’t the assumption be yes to apply your theory?
|timestamp=2:02 AM · Nov 5, 2021
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|timestamp=9:20 PM · Nov 5, 2021
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Great news, given that *every* tick of your BLS CPI forces billions of dollars to change hands.
|content=Great news, given that *every* tick of your BLS [[CPI]] forces billions of dollars to change hands.


"The concept of the cost-of-living index guides the CPI measurement objective and is the standard by which any bias in the CPI is defined."
"The concept of the cost-of-living index guides the [[CPI]] measurement objective and is the standard by which any bias in the CPI is defined."


I found this on @BLS_gov site. Is it true?
I found this on @BLS_gov site. Is it true?
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=I cannot find any place where the preference maps needed to construct a Laspeyres Konus COL index are gleaned through revealed preference. I will go so far as to say that this is bait &amp; switch. There is a CLAIM of a COL framework, but no one is constructing anything of the kind.
|content=I cannot find any place where the preference maps needed to construct a Laspeyres Konus COL index are gleaned through [[Revealed Preference|revealed preference]]. I will go so far as to say that this is bait &amp; switch. There is a CLAIM of a COL framework, but no one is constructing anything of the kind.
|timestamp=6:13 PM · Nov 6, 2021
|timestamp=6:13 PM · Nov 6, 2021
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Moral: you have a right to know what’s in your food and how your pharmaceuticals were tested. You have a right to ask your surgeon what she plans to do during an operation.
|content=[[Morals|Moral]]: you have a right to know what’s in your food and how your pharmaceuticals were tested. You have a right to ask your surgeon what she plans to do during an operation.


You have a right to demand what economists are actually measuring as Cost-Of-Living W/O abuse for asking.
You have a right to demand what economists are actually measuring as Cost-Of-Living W/O abuse for asking.
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=Monthly Reminder Moral: it’s really really really hard to fake a field. Economic Index Numbers like [[CPI]] are not real numbers. They are naturally group-valued *FIELDS* that would be nearly impossible to fake and manipulate.  
|content=[[Morals|Monthly Reminder Moral]]: it’s really really really hard to fake a field. Economic Index Numbers like [[CPI]] are not real numbers. They are naturally group-valued *FIELDS* that would be nearly impossible to fake and manipulate.  


The *entire* subject is off. [[Peer Review|Peer review]] won’t help. 🙏
The *entire* subject is off. [[Peer Review|Peer review]] won’t help. 🙏
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=A3 Cont.: As Ken Arrow challenged us “Frisch showed we can’t solve the bilateral index problem because a single agent at multiple points in time is *exactly* dual to multiple agents at a single instant of time. Which is exactly my ‘Impossibility Theorem’ in Social Choice. QED.”
|content=A3 Cont.: As [[Ken Arrow]] challenged us “Frisch showed we can’t solve the bilateral index problem because a single agent at multiple points in time is *exactly* dual to multiple agents at a single instant of time. Which is exactly my ‘Impossibility Theorem’ in Social Choice. QED.”
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=A3 Cont.: “This is why index numbers will one day be properly understood as parallel translation in Fiber Bundles wrt Economic Gauge Potentials. But Zoe doesn’t become Cam morphing into Fatima when voting. So parallel transport is unavailable. Even in topological social choice.”
|content=A3 Cont.: “This is why index numbers will one day be properly understood as parallel translation in [[Bundles|Fiber Bundles]] wrt Economic Gauge Potentials. But Zoe doesn’t become Cam morphing into Fatima when voting. So parallel transport is unavailable. Even in topological social choice.”
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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|content=Q4: Why do you say indexes are Group-Valued? Isn’t inflation just a number?
|content=Q4: Why do you say indexes are Group-Valued? Isn’t inflation just a number?


A4: Here goes. In the most famous case you *can* get away with a number. But that 8.9% style CPI nonsense is actually secretly a 1x1 matrix in GL(1,R). And that actually matters! Why? B/c Non-linearity.
A4: Here goes. In the most famous case you *can* get away with a number. But that 8.9% style [[CPI]] nonsense is actually secretly a 1x1 matrix in GL(1,R). And that actually matters! Why? B/c Non-linearity.
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
|timestamp=4:05 PM · Nov 6, 2022
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{{Tweet
|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1589783408938733568
|name=Eric Weinstein
|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
|username=EricRWeinstein
|content=We cannot continue to live with the information that determines who we are kept by a cabal.
Free people are entitled to know what the hell is happening in their own lives. In their own country. In their own lungs.
It’s time we end “Sources &amp; Methods” as a catch all excuse.
🙏
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COVID Origins</br>
COVID Origins</br>
[[Jeffrey Epstein|Epstein Connection to IC]]</br>
[[Jeffrey Epstein|Epstein Connection to IC]]</br>
UFOs</br>
[[UAP|UFOs]]</br>
[[CPI]] as Tax Increase/SS Reduction</br>
[[CPI|CPI as Tax Increase/SS Reduction]]</br>
[[Labor Shortages|Fake Labor Shortages]]</br>
[[Labor Shortages|Fake Labor Shortages]]</br>
DHS meddling in Social Media</br>
DHS meddling in Social Media</br>
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I don’t believe the US is still on the ballot.
I don’t believe the US is still on the ballot.
|timestamp=12:54 AM · Nov 8, 2022
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|timestamp=12:54 AM · Nov 8, 2022
|timestamp=12:54 AM · Nov 8, 2022
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[[Quantum Gravity]]</br>
[[Quantum Gravity]]</br>
[[Jeffrey Epstein|Jeffrey Epstein’s CCY trading Claims]]</br>
[[Jeffrey Epstein|Jeffrey Epstein’s CCY trading Claims]]</br>
'''CPI Construction'''</br>
[[CPI|CPI Construction]]</br>
UFO/UAP</br>
[[UAP|UFO/UAP]]</br>
Chinese Graduate Students in STEM</br>
Chinese Graduate Students in STEM</br>
Open Borders</br>
Open Borders</br>
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|content=Think globalization.</br>
|content=Think globalization.</br>
Financialization.</br>
Financialization.</br>
'''CPI tampering.'''</br>
[[CPI|CPI tampering.]]</br>
Using 9/11 to invade…checks notes…Iraq.</br>
Using 9/11 to invade…checks notes…Iraq.</br>
“The Great Moderation.”</br>
[[Great Moderation|“The Great Moderation.”]]</br>
MBS and the Great Financial Crisis.</br>
MBS and the Great Financial Crisis.</br>
[[Quantum Gravity]].</br>
[[Quantum Gravity]].</br>
“Adult Supervision” of [[GenX]] founders.</br>
“Adult Supervision” of [[GenX]] founders.</br>
Undocumented Americans.</br>
Undocumented Americans.</br>
QE
[[Quantitative Easing|QE]]


All Silent/Boomers projects.</br>
All [[Silent Generation|Silent]]/[[Baby Boomer Generation|Boomers]] projects.</br>
All [[Kayfabe]]
All [[Kayfabe]]
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