Early is another name for wrong: Difference between revisions

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-We are collecting predictions from Eric so we may use them for anything we want in the future.
+Eric has made many observations and predictions that were "too early" and thus have gone largely unrecognized. This is an incomplete collection of such instances.
-Please:
+{{Tweet
+|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
+|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813096110411779
+|name=Eric Weinstein
+|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
+|username=EricRWeinstein
+|content=Responsible folks share w/ me hoping that if I believe them, they wont have to share under their own name. I shared some of what was shared with me.
-* Add any prediction you like
+My market saying is [[Early is another name for wrong|"Early is another name for wrong."]]</br>
-* Help add sources so we know all of these are really predictions. Make sure to include a link if possible. If you're quoting from a long piece (e.g a podcast) give a timestamp, or another useful pointer in the case of long texts.
+In UFO land "Early is another name for presumed Crazy".
-* Keep the format consistent (between predictions and between versions).
-== Quotes ==
+Time to apologize.
+|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
+}}
-* '''2001''' Eric meets [[25:_The_Construct:_Jeffrey_Epstein|Jeffrey Epstein]] and immediately after concluding the meeting calls his wife and tells her he “just met a construct.”
-* '''2002''' [http://www.eric-weinstein.net/Papers/Weinstein_Abdulali_RISK_Vol_15_No._6_June.2002.pdf Eric's research with A. Abdulali] on valuation perversities for Mortgage Backed Securities appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. [https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/experts/eweinstein Source]
-* '''2011''' Eric’s [https://www.edge.org/response-detail/11783 Edge.org] article predicted the rise of a Donald Trump-like leader who was elected President of the United States in 2016.
-There were others, too. Let's add links to them
+{{Tweet
+|image=Eric profile picture.jpg
+|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411000957425442821
+|name=Eric Weinstein
+|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein
+|username=EricRWeinstein
+|content=What am I most consistently wrong about?
-== Notes ==
+A) Timing.
-you can also go through the transcripts of episodes to look for good quotes.
+B) Pulling my punches.
+I am usually early but not always (e.g late on COVID but, as I also say, [[Early is another name for wrong|“Early is another name for wrong.”]]). And I frequently live to fight again by NOT going all in when conviction is not absolute.
+|timestamp=4:36 PM · Jul 2, 2021
+}}
-{{stub}}
+== Predictions ==
+* Wuhan lab
+* [[Peer Review]]
+* Destruction of US science with immigration visas (e.g. [[H-1B Visa]])
+=== 2001 ===
+* Eric meets [[25:_The_Construct:_Jeffrey_Epstein|Jeffrey Epstein]] and immediately after concluding the meeting calls his wife and tells her he “just met a construct.”
+=== 2002 ===
+* [http://www.eric-weinstein.net/Papers/Weinstein_Abdulali_RISK_Vol_15_No._6_June.2002.pdf Eric's research with A. Abdulali] on valuation perversities for [[Mortgage Backed Securities]] appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. [https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/experts/eweinstein Source]
+=== 2011 ===
+* Eric’s [https://www.edge.org/response-detail/11783 Edge.org] article on [[Kayfabe]] predicted the rise of a Donald Trump-like leader who was elected President of the United States in 2016.
+=== 2016 ===
+* [[Preference Falsification]]
+=== 2020 ===
+* [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden|Biden's]] 2024 presidential election dropout
+=== 2023 ===
+* "[[We may be faking a UFO situation]]" on Feb 21, 2023, [https://youtu.be/h7CJoGKvx3U?t=7207 JRE 1945] and [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v="We may be faking a UFO situation" JRE Clip], confirmed on June 6, 2025 via WSJ article [https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/ufo-us-disinformation-45376f7e The Pentagon Disinformation That Fueled America’s UFO Mythology] and  June 11, 2025 via [https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1932978904459038830 New York Post].
+== Related Pages ==
+* [[Kayfabe]]
+* [[Preference Falsification]]
+* [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden|Biden's]]
+[[Category:Portal Topics‏‎]]
+== Related Pages ==
+* [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden]]
+* [[4: Timur Kuran - The Economics of Revolution and Mass Deception|The Portal Ep 4: Timur Kuran - The Economics of Revolution and Mass Deception]]
+* [[I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This]]
+* [[Peer Review]]
+[[Category:Stub]]
+[[Category:Projects]]