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Eric Weinstein consistently discusses the [[H-1B Visa|H-1B visa program]] as the product of a deliberate "labor tampering conspiracy" orchestrated in the mid-1980s by key U.S. institutions, including the [[National Science Foundation (NSF)]], and the the [[Government University Industry Research Round Table (GUIRR)|Government-University-Industry Research Roundtable (GUIRR)]] within the [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)]]. He traces its roots to a secret 1986 NSF economic study conducted under [[Erich Bloch|NSF Director Erich Bloch]], with involvement from [[Peter House]] (head of NSF's Policy Research and Analysis Division) and [[Myles Boylan|economist Myles Boylan]]. This study, titled "The Pipeline For Scientific and Technical Personnel: Past Lessons Applied to Future Changes of Interest to Policy-Makers and Human Resource Specialists," projected that new U.S. PhDs in science and engineering (S&E) fields would command salaries exceeding $100,000 (in 1986 dollars) due to market dynamics, which the study labeled a "pessimistic scenario" because it would require employers to pay competitive wages. To avert this, the NSF allegedly suppressed the economic model's demand-side projections and instead produced a flawed, supply-only demographic study predicting a massive "shortfall" of 675,000 S&E bachelor's degrees between 1986 and 2011, based solely on declining numbers of 22-year-olds without considering wage adjustments or market equilibrium. | [[File:ERW-X-post-1873283988804223195-Gf888ebasAAGE0-.jpg|thumb|Photograph from the secret NSF study that led to the H-1B.]] | ||
Eric Weinstein consistently discusses the [[H-1B Visa|H-1B visa program]] as the product of a deliberate "labor tampering conspiracy" orchestrated in the mid-1980s by key U.S. institutions, including the [[National Science Foundation (NSF)]], and the the [[Government University Industry Research Round Table (GUIRR)|Government-University-Industry Research Roundtable (GUIRR)]] within the [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)]]. He traces its roots to a secret 1986 NSF economic study conducted under [[Erich Bloch|NSF Director Erich Bloch]], with involvement from [[Peter House]] (head of [[NSF Policy Research and Analysis Division (PRA)|NSF's Policy Research and Analysis Division]]) and [[Myles Boylan|economist Myles Boylan]]. This study, titled "The Pipeline For Scientific and Technical Personnel: Past Lessons Applied to Future Changes of Interest to Policy-Makers and Human Resource Specialists," projected that new U.S. PhDs in science and engineering (S&E) fields would command salaries exceeding $100,000 (in 1986 dollars) due to market dynamics, which the study labeled a "pessimistic scenario" because it would require employers to pay competitive wages. To avert this, the NSF allegedly suppressed the economic model's demand-side projections and instead produced a flawed, supply-only demographic study predicting a massive "shortfall" of 675,000 S&E bachelor's degrees between 1986 and 2011, based solely on declining numbers of 22-year-olds without considering wage adjustments or market equilibrium. | |||
{{Tweet | {{Tweet | ||
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|content="A growing influx of foreign PhD's into U.S. labor markets will hold down the level of PhD salaries to the extent that foreign students are attracted to U.S. doctoral programs as a way of immigrating to the U.S." | |content="A growing influx of foreign PhD's into U.S. labor markets will hold down the level of PhD salaries to the extent that foreign students are attracted to U.S. doctoral programs as a way of immigrating to the U.S." | ||
-Photograph from the secret @NSF study that led to the [[H-1B Visa|H-1B]]. | -Photograph from the secret [[National Science Foundation (NSF)|@NSF]] study that led to the [[H-1B Visa|H-1B]]. | ||
|timestamp=8:24 AM · Dec 29, 2024 | |timestamp=8:24 AM · Dec 29, 2024 | ||
|media1=ERW-X-post-1873283988804223195-Gf888ebasAAGE0-.jpg | |media1=ERW-X-post-1873283988804223195-Gf888ebasAAGE0-.jpg | ||
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|content=I highly recommend learning about the history of where [[H-1B Visa|H-1B]] came from before getting emotionally invested in it. | |content=I highly recommend learning about the history of where [[H-1B Visa|H-1B]] came from before getting emotionally invested in it. | ||
It was born as a [[Labor Shortages|labor tampering conspiracy]] against American scientists headquartered at the [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)|@theNASEM]] ([[Government University Industry Research Round Table (GUIRR)|GUIRR]]) & [[National Science Foundation (NSF)|@nsf]] (PRA) under [[Erich Bloch]]. | It was born as a [[Labor Shortages|labor tampering conspiracy]] against American scientists headquartered at the [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)|@theNASEM]] ([[Government University Industry Research Round Table (GUIRR)|GUIRR]]) & [[National Science Foundation (NSF)|@nsf]] ([[NSF Policy Research and Analysis Division (PRA)|PRA]]) under [[Erich Bloch]]. | ||
https://www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives/blog/how-why-government-universities-industry-create-domestic-labor-shortages-of-scientists-high-tech-workers | https://www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives/blog/how-why-government-universities-industry-create-domestic-labor-shortages-of-scientists-high-tech-workers | ||
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}} | }} | ||
This manipulated shortfall narrative, Weinstein argues, directly influenced the [[IMMACT90|Immigration Act of 1990 (IMMACT90)]], which tripled permanent skilled worker visas to approximately 27,000 per year, introduced the [[H-1B Visa|H-1B temporary visa category for specialty occupations]], and created the "Einstein Exemption" waiving labor certification requirements for certain "priority workers." He describes this as an "out and out conspiracy" headquartered at [[National Science Foundation (NSF)|NSF]] (via its [[NSF Policy Research and Analysis (PRA)|Policy Research and Analysis]] division) and [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)|NAS]] (via [[Government University Industry Research Round Table (GUIRR)|GUIRR]]), designed to interfere with free labor markets on behalf of employers, universities, and industry, rather than scientists or national interests. Weinstein emphasizes that this was not incompetence but intentional: the NSF hid the competent economic study (a "smoking gun") and faked an incompetent one to justify flooding the market, as he deduced from first principles using a concept he calls [[The Invisible World is First Detected by the Visible World’s Failure to Close|"failure to close"]] in systems analysis. He presented this evidence multiple times at NAS events in 2003, noting the lack of public records of these presentations as further proof of suppression. | This manipulated shortfall narrative, Weinstein argues, directly influenced the [[IMMACT90|Immigration Act of 1990 (IMMACT90)]], which tripled permanent skilled worker visas to approximately 27,000 per year, introduced the [[H-1B Visa|H-1B temporary visa category for specialty occupations]], and created the "Einstein Exemption" waiving labor certification requirements for certain "priority workers." He describes this as an "out and out conspiracy" headquartered at [[National Science Foundation (NSF)|NSF]] (via its [[NSF Policy Research and Analysis Division (PRA)|Policy Research and Analysis]] division) and [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)|NAS]] (via [[Government University Industry Research Round Table (GUIRR)|GUIRR]]), designed to interfere with free labor markets on behalf of employers, universities, and industry, rather than scientists or national interests. Weinstein emphasizes that this was not incompetence but intentional: the NSF hid the competent economic study (a "smoking gun") and faked an incompetent one to justify flooding the market, as he deduced from first principles using a concept he calls [[The Invisible World is First Detected by the Visible World’s Failure to Close|"failure to close"]] in systems analysis. He presented this evidence multiple times at NAS events in 2003, noting the lack of public records of these presentations as further proof of suppression. | ||
Weinstein repeatedly urges people to learn this history before engaging emotionally, warning that H-1B is a "political football" designed to divide good people. He points to the absence of mainstream media coverage over 25+ years as evidence of a broader [[The Distributed Idea Suppression Complex (The DISC)|"Distributed Idea Suppression Complex" (DISC)]], [[Gated Institutional Narrative (GIN)|"Gated Institutional Narrative" (GIN)]] and [[Managed Reality TM]], where inconvenient truths are silenced. | Weinstein repeatedly urges people to learn this history before engaging emotionally, warning that H-1B is a "political football" designed to divide good people. He points to the absence of mainstream media coverage over 25+ years as evidence of a broader [[The Distributed Idea Suppression Complex (The DISC)|"Distributed Idea Suppression Complex" (DISC)]], [[Gated Institutional Narrative (GIN)|"Gated Institutional Narrative" (GIN)]] and [[Managed Reality TM]], where inconvenient truths are silenced. | ||
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* [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)]] | * [[National Academy of Sciences (NAS)]] | ||
* [[National Science Foundation (NSF)]] | * [[National Science Foundation (NSF)]] | ||
* [[NSF Policy Research and Analysis Division (PRA)]] | |||
* [[Peter House]] | * [[Peter House]] | ||
* [[Ronald Coase]] | * [[Ronald Coase]] | ||