Early is another name for wrong - Revision history

Aardvark: Text replacement - "|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein↵|username=EricRWeinstein" to "|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein |username=ericweinstein"

2026-05-05T22:11:45Z

Text replacement - "|usernameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein↵|username=EricRWeinstein" to "|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein |username=ericweinstein"

← Older revision		Revision as of 22:11, 5 May 2026
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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408814479815499781		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408814479815499781
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=I also wanted to say to the non-ufo community that whatever I got right largely didn't come from me. It came from patriots, fellow scientists & others who were not taken in the way I was. All I did was a bit of filtering and after market analysis given the gravity of the issue.		\|content=I also wanted to say to the non-ufo community that whatever I got right largely didn't come from me. It came from patriots, fellow scientists & others who were not taken in the way I was. All I did was a bit of filtering and after market analysis given the gravity of the issue.
	\|thread=		\|thread=
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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813096110411779		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813096110411779
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=Responsible folks share w/ me hoping that if I believe them, they wont have to share under their own name. I shared some of what was shared with me.		\|content=Responsible folks share w/ me hoping that if I believe them, they wont have to share under their own name. I shared some of what was shared with me.

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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813097188347904		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813097188347904
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=To all the UFO people who were getting it right: I blew it. I thought you were bored, easily convinced, read too much sci-fi as kids, were easily taken in. I thought there was no way this could ambiguously exist in a world flooded with sensors. I thought you were not getting it.		\|content=To all the UFO people who were getting it right: I blew it. I thought you were bored, easily convinced, read too much sci-fi as kids, were easily taken in. I thought there was no way this could ambiguously exist in a world flooded with sensors. I thought you were not getting it.
	\|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021		\|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813098035662856		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813098035662856
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=I am very late to your party and even having gotten the report mostly right, it has been exceptionally unpleasant to get in front of it by even a few months. I can only imagine how it feels after the many years the US has gaslight you all while knowing you were not wrong.		\|content=I am very late to your party and even having gotten the report mostly right, it has been exceptionally unpleasant to get in front of it by even a few months. I can only imagine how it feels after the many years the US has gaslight you all while knowing you were not wrong.
	\|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021		\|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813098874531840		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813098874531840
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=A lot of UFO people are nutty. But you the careful community that called balls and strikes as best you could with limited information deserve not only rehabilitation in the minds of the public, but some official recognition that you are to be listened to in the future. Thank you.		\|content=A lot of UFO people are nutty. But you the careful community that called balls and strikes as best you could with limited information deserve not only rehabilitation in the minds of the public, but some official recognition that you are to be listened to in the future. Thank you.
	\|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021		\|timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813099705004035		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1408813099705004035
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=I believe you now when you say that there is even much more high quality data available but that it has not been released.		\|content=I believe you now when you say that there is even much more high quality data available but that it has not been released.

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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411001478152556544		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411001478152556544
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=Note Added: I was Wildly wrong about AC/DC. Thought they were a joke. What was I thinking?!		\|content=Note Added: I was Wildly wrong about AC/DC. Thought they were a joke. What was I thinking?!
	\|thread=		\|thread=
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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1410999543466905601		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1410999543466905601
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=Big things I was vocal & wrong about: psychedelics as super harmful drugs, UFOs as total BS, most likely location of Ghislaine Maxwell’s hiding country, Trump having at least some strategy that I couldn’t see at the end, Viability of a US mediated two state solution in M.E.,…		\|content=Big things I was vocal & wrong about: psychedelics as super harmful drugs, UFOs as total BS, most likely location of Ghislaine Maxwell’s hiding country, Trump having at least some strategy that I couldn’t see at the end, Viability of a US mediated two state solution in M.E.,…
	\|timestamp=4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021		\|timestamp=4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021
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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1410999544846815239		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1410999544846815239
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=In the case of Ghislaine, I wasn’t public about it but was vocal enough to friends. In the case of a two state solution, my belief in its viability was during a period before I became active on social media. But I still see my reasoning in the above cases. Interesting to revisit.		\|content=In the case of Ghislaine, I wasn’t public about it but was vocal enough to friends. In the case of a two state solution, my belief in its viability was during a period before I became active on social media. But I still see my reasoning in the above cases. Interesting to revisit.
	\|timestamp=4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021		\|timestamp=4:31 PM · Jul 2, 2021
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	\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411000957425442821		\|nameurl=https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1411000957425442821
	\|name=Eric Weinstein		\|name=Eric Weinstein
	\|usernameurl=https://x.com/~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|usernameurl=https://x.com/ericweinstein
	\|username=~~EricRWeinstein~~		\|username=ericweinstein
	\|content=What am I most consistently wrong about?		\|content=What am I most consistently wrong about?

Pyrope: /* 2002 */

2026-02-02T07:11:43Z

2002

← Older revision		Revision as of 07:11, 2 February 2026
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	=== 2002 ===		=== 2002 ===
	* [~~http~~:~~//www.eric-weinstein.net/Papers/Weinstein_Abdulali_RISK_Vol_15_No._6_June.2002.pdf~~ Eric's research with A. Abdulali] on valuation perversities for [[Mortgage Backed Securities]] appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. [https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/experts/eweinstein Source]		* [[Hedge fund transparency: quantifying valuation bias for illiquid assets\|Eric's research with A. Abdulali]] on valuation perversities for [[Mortgage Backed Securities]] appeared in Risk in 2002 and was among the earliest in the literature to call attention to the dangers posed by such illiquid securities. The collapse occurred in 2008. [https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/experts/eweinstein Source]

	=== 2011 ===		=== 2011 ===

Pyrope at 22:54, 5 January 2026

2026-01-05T22:54:35Z

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 Eric has made many observations and predictions that were "too early" and thus have gone largely unrecognized. This is an incomplete collection of such instances.
 {{Tweet
 |image=Eric profile picture.jpg
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 Time to apologize.
 |timestamp=3:43 PM · Jun 26, 2021
 }}

Pyrope at 22:50, 5 January 2026

2026-01-05T22:50:20Z

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 {{Tweet
 |image=Eric profile picture.jpg
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 |timestamp=4:36 PM · Jul 2, 2021
 }}
 == Predictions ==

Pyrope: /* Related Pages */

2025-12-15T06:10:05Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 06:10, 15 December 2025
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	== Related Pages ==		== Related Pages ==
			* [[Claims]]
	* [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden]]		* [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden]]
	* [[~~4: Timur Kuran - The Economics of Revolution and Mass Deception\|The Portal Ep 4: Timur Kuran - The Economics of Revolution and Mass Deception~~]]		* [[Kayfabe]]
	* [[I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This]]		* [[I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This]]
	* [[Peer Review]]		* [[Peer Review]]
	* [[Kayfabe]]
	* [[Preference Falsification]]		* [[Preference Falsification]]
	* [[The ~~Cognitive Decline~~ of ~~President Joe Biden~~\|~~Biden's~~]]		* [[4: Timur Kuran - The Economics of Revolution and Mass Deception\|The Portal Ep 4: Timur Kuran - The Economics of Revolution and Mass Deception]]


	[[Category:Stub]]		[[Category:Stub]]
	[[Category:Projects]]		[[Category:Projects]]
	[[Category:Portal Topics‏‎]]		[[Category:Portal Topics‏‎]]

Pyrope: /* Related Pages */

2025-12-15T06:08:55Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 06:08, 15 December 2025
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	[[Category:Stub]]		[[Category:Stub]]
	[[Category:Projects]]		[[Category:Projects]]
			[[Category:Portal Topics‏‎]]

Pyrope: /* 2023 */

2025-12-15T06:06:38Z

2023

← Older revision		Revision as of 06:06, 15 December 2025
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	=== 2023 ===		=== 2023 ===
	* "[[We may be faking a UFO situation]]" on Feb 21, 2023, [https://youtu.be/h7CJoGKvx3U?t=7207 JRE 1945] and [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v="We may be faking a UFO situation" JRE Clip], confirmed on June 6, 2025 via WSJ article [https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/ufo-us-disinformation-45376f7e The Pentagon Disinformation That Fueled America’s UFO Mythology] and June 11, 2025 via [https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1932978904459038830 New York Post].		* "[[We may be faking a UFO situation]]" on Feb 21, 2023, [https://youtu.be/h7CJoGKvx3U?t=7207 JRE 1945] and [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v="We may be faking a UFO situation" JRE Clip], confirmed on June 6, 2025 via WSJ article [https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/ufo-us-disinformation-45376f7e The Pentagon Disinformation That Fueled America’s UFO Mythology] and June 11, 2025 via [https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1932978904459038830 New York Post].


	~~[[Category:Portal Topics‏‎]]~~

	== Related Pages ==		== Related Pages ==

Pyrope: /* Related Pages */

2025-12-15T06:06:24Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 06:06, 15 December 2025
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	* [[I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This]]		* [[I’ve Got a Good Feeling About This]]
	* [[Peer Review]]		* [[Peer Review]]
			* [[Kayfabe]]
			* [[Preference Falsification]]
			* [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden\|Biden's]]

	[[Category:Stub]]		[[Category:Stub]]
	[[Category:Projects]]		[[Category:Projects]]

Pyrope: /* 2023 */

2025-12-15T06:06:09Z

2023

← Older revision		Revision as of 06:06, 15 December 2025
Line 57:		Line 57:
	* "[[We may be faking a UFO situation]]" on Feb 21, 2023, [https://youtu.be/h7CJoGKvx3U?t=7207 JRE 1945] and [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v="We may be faking a UFO situation" JRE Clip], confirmed on June 6, 2025 via WSJ article [https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/ufo-us-disinformation-45376f7e The Pentagon Disinformation That Fueled America’s UFO Mythology] and June 11, 2025 via [https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1932978904459038830 New York Post].		* "[[We may be faking a UFO situation]]" on Feb 21, 2023, [https://youtu.be/h7CJoGKvx3U?t=7207 JRE 1945] and [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v="We may be faking a UFO situation" JRE Clip], confirmed on June 6, 2025 via WSJ article [https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/ufo-us-disinformation-45376f7e The Pentagon Disinformation That Fueled America’s UFO Mythology] and June 11, 2025 via [https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1932978904459038830 New York Post].

	* [[Kayfabe]]
	* [[Preference Falsification]]
	* [[The Cognitive Decline of President Joe Biden\|Biden's]]

	[[Category:Portal Topics‏‎]]		[[Category:Portal Topics‏‎]]

Pyrope: /* Related Pages */

2025-12-15T06:05:54Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 06:05, 15 December 2025
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	* "[[We may be faking a UFO situation]]" on Feb 21, 2023, [https://youtu.be/h7CJoGKvx3U?t=7207 JRE 1945] and [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v="We may be faking a UFO situation" JRE Clip], confirmed on June 6, 2025 via WSJ article [https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/ufo-us-disinformation-45376f7e The Pentagon Disinformation That Fueled America’s UFO Mythology] and June 11, 2025 via [https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1932978904459038830 New York Post].		* "[[We may be faking a UFO situation]]" on Feb 21, 2023, [https://youtu.be/h7CJoGKvx3U?t=7207 JRE 1945] and [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v="We may be faking a UFO situation" JRE Clip], confirmed on June 6, 2025 via WSJ article [https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/ufo-us-disinformation-45376f7e The Pentagon Disinformation That Fueled America’s UFO Mythology] and June 11, 2025 via [https://x.com/EricRWeinstein/status/1932978904459038830 New York Post].

	~~== Related Pages ==~~
	* [[Kayfabe]]		* [[Kayfabe]]
	* [[Preference Falsification]]		* [[Preference Falsification]]