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== Origin == The '''UAP = USAP''' hypothesis was first articulated publicly by Eric Weinstein during a live presentation at the '''JNS Salon''' titled ''[[Humanity Needs a Plan B for Survival (YouTube Content)|Humanity Needs a Plan B for Survival]],'' held in early 2025 and released on YouTube on 27 March 2025, <ref name="JNS2025">{{cite web |title=Humanity Needs a Plan B for Survival |url=https://theportal.wiki/wiki/Humanity_Needs_a_Plan_B_for_Survival_(YouTube_Content) |website=The Portal Wiki |date=27 March 2025 |access-date=7 July 2025}}</ref> and has also been discussed indirectly on earlier occasions.<ref name="JRE2023">{{cite web |title=Eric Weinstein "We May Be Faking a UFO Situation..." - Skepticism Over Current State of UFO's |url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gMJ4cbO88F4 |website=YouTube |date=22 February 2023 |access-date=7 July 2025}}</ref> At approximately 1 hr 6 min into the JNS Salon presentation, Weinstein introduced the equation: :''"I have an equation called UAP = SAP, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena equals Special Access Programs."'' This statement was delivered within a broader discussion on the challenges of evaluating conspiracy theories in a deeply classified national security environment. Weinstein drew analogies to World War II deception campaigns—specifically Operation Fortitude and Operation Bodyguard—as historical precedents for intentional government obfuscation. He further argued that governments often disguise real technological advances under misleading narratives, and that UAP phenomena may serve as convenient cover for highly classified aerospace activity. Weinstein framed the equation as a conceptual tool for interpreting observed anomalies as potential artifacts of internal U.S. defense infrastructure, intelligence masking, or adversarial misdirection efforts. The talk also emphasized the institutional difficulty of achieving transparency due to the risks of exposing deeply compartmentalized programs to broader scrutiny. <blockquote> ''The big problem with Conspiracy Theories, and why they have such a terrible name, is that people don't realize the princess cannot feel whether it's a pea, or a golf ball, or even a watermelon, if there's too many mattresses. So my point is that [[Responsible Conspiracy Theorizing|you have to learn when things don't make sense without immediately filling the hole]]. We don't really know—I can tell you with almost certainty that the US has had quiet and highly classified UFO programs. Nobody has any idea—that I know—whether they're actually UFOs or aliens anywhere near them. And so, in part, I have an equation called '''UAP=SAP, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena equals Special Access Programs'''. The US, when it chooses to do something cool, always does something fake. So [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Overlord Operation Overlord] was the invasion of Normandy during World War II, but [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Fortitude Operation Fortitude] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Operation_Bodyguard Operation Bodyguard] were the fake operations to disguise the Operation Overlord, so that nobody would understand what the troop buildup was about. So, in part, we don't know, for example, whether—let's just take the UFOs—whether there's any UFOs in this thing, and it's just a cover for super advanced aerospace, or to try to get the Chinese and the Russians to invest precious treasure in the wrong programs.... ''We have a problem that we're not being honest with people at a level that we can't afford. Governments can't afford to be honest. They. This idea of “transparency is everything, and sunlight is the best disinfectant”—anybody who knows medicine knows that Brucella is an infection that gets worse with sunlight. You can't just open everything up. The mania for transparency is a mania. The key point is we have to bring these down to appreciable levels. We need more honesty, if not total honesty. And I don't know what to do about all of the things that don't add up, because in late the late stages of the post-World War II era, many of the people in charge of these programs don't understand how they work.'' - '''Eric Weinstein''' at the 2025 [[Humanity Needs a Plan B for Survival (YouTube Content)|JNS Salon]] </blockquote> {{#widget:YouTube|id=h8-lm1ASfik|start=3918}}
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